{"id":5519,"date":"2026-01-28T13:27:11","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T13:27:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/?p=5519"},"modified":"2026-01-28T13:29:57","modified_gmt":"2026-01-28T13:29:57","slug":"arthur-hayes-predice-un-rally-del-bitcoin-la-clave-esta-en-el-rescate-de-la-fed-a-los-bonos-de-japon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/arthur-hayes-predice-un-rally-del-bitcoin-la-clave-esta-en-el-rescate-de-la-fed-a-los-bonos-de-japon\/","title":{"rendered":"Arthur Hayes predice un rally del Bitcoin: la clave est\u00e1 en el rescate de la Fed a los bonos de Jap\u00f3n"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El ex CEO de BitMEX sostiene que la inestabilidad en el mercado de bonos nip\u00f3n obligar\u00e1 a la Reserva Federal a \u00abimprimir\u00bb d\u00f3lares para estabilizar el sistema. Seg\u00fan Hayes, esta inyecci\u00f3n masiva de liquidez ser\u00e1 el detonante para que el Bitcoin rompa su actual letargo y se dirija hacia nuevos m\u00e1ximos.<\/p>\n<p>Arthur Hayes ha vuelto a sacudir los mercados con una tesis audaz: el futuro del Bitcoin no se est\u00e1 decidiendo en Washington, sino en Tokio. En su \u00faltimo ensayo titulado \u00abWoomph\u00bb, Hayes argumenta que el estr\u00e9s simult\u00e1neo de un yen debilitado y el aumento de los rendimientos de los bonos del gobierno japon\u00e9s (JGB) forzar\u00e1 una intervenci\u00f3n coordinada de la Reserva Federal (Fed) que inundar\u00e1 el sistema de d\u00f3lares.<\/p>\n<p>Para Hayes, el Bitcoin ha estado atrapado en un \u00abfunk lateral\u00bb porque le falta su combustible principal: la expansi\u00f3n de la masa monetaria. La situaci\u00f3n en Jap\u00f3n, donde los inversores podr\u00edan empezar a vender bonos del Tesoro estadounidense para repatriar capitales ante la subida de tipos local, representa una amenaza sist\u00e9mica para la estabilidad financiera de EE. UU. que la Fed no podr\u00e1 ignorar.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\u201cWoomph\u201d is a an essay on my theory about how the Fed could be printing money to manipulate the yen and JGB markets. If true money printer go fucking BRRRR!<\/p>\n<p> <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/VdCUcd784t\">https:\/\/t.co\/VdCUcd784t<\/a> <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/loIlR5nOd0\">pic.twitter.com\/loIlR5nOd0<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoHayes\/status\/2016289759736504777?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 27, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2>La teor\u00eda del \u00abWoomph\u00bb: C\u00f3mo la Fed salvar\u00e1 el mercado de bonos<\/h2>\n<p>El mecanismo propuesto por Hayes sugiere que la Fed podr\u00eda intervenir mediante la creaci\u00f3n de reservas de d\u00f3lares adicionales que luego ser\u00edan utilizadas para comprar yenes y bonos JGB.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Inyecci\u00f3n de liquidez<\/strong>: Esta maniobra expandir\u00eda el balance de la Fed de forma \u00absigilosa\u00bb, inyectando liquidez global que, inevitablemente, fluir\u00eda hacia activos de riesgo como el Bitcoin.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Se\u00f1ales en el horizonte<\/strong>: Hayes se\u00f1ala que el Tesoro de EE. UU. ya ha realizado recompras de deuda por valor de 735 millones de d\u00f3lares, un movimiento que interpreta como un apoyo preliminar a la liquidez del mercado.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Confirmaci\u00f3n on-chain<\/strong>: El analista insta a vigilar el informe semanal H.4.1 de la Fed. Si la l\u00ednea de \u00abActivos denominados en moneda extranjera\u00bb comienza a crecer, ser\u00e1 la se\u00f1al definitiva de que la impresi\u00f3n de dinero ha comenzado.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>El d\u00f3lar en m\u00ednimos de cuatro a\u00f1os<\/h2>\n<p>Este escenario se produce mientras el \u00cdndice del D\u00f3lar (DXY) ha ca\u00eddo hasta los 95,6 puntos, su nivel m\u00e1s bajo desde 2021. La debilidad del billete verde ya ha impulsado al oro y la plata a m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos este mes, y Hayes cree que el Bitcoin es el siguiente en la lista.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 JUST IN: U.S. Treasury buys back $735M of its own debt. <\/p>\n<p>The Treasury repurchased $735 million in outstanding deb ; a liquidity-positive move that can help cash circulate back into broader financial markets. <\/p>\n<p>An early signal of liquidity support that could evolve into\u2026 <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/eJNdYuHeix\">pic.twitter.com\/eJNdYuHeix<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; CryptosRus (@CryptosR_Us) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptosR_Us\/status\/2016417717696200746?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 28, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2>Predicciones: \u00bfHacia los 250.000 d\u00f3lares?<\/h2>\n<p>Hayes no es el \u00fanico optimista. El inversor multimillonario Tim Draper ha reafirmado su objetivo de 250.000 d\u00f3lares para el Bitcoin, coincidiendo en que la devaluaci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar y el caos en los mercados de bonos tradicionales son los mejores anuncios publicitarios para la escasez digital del BTC.<\/p>\n<p>Por ahora, el Bitcoin cotiza estable en torno a los 90.000 d\u00f3lares. Sin embargo, seg\u00fan la visi\u00f3n de Hayes, si escuchamos el \u00abwoomph\u00bb de la Fed interviniendo en Jap\u00f3n, la criptomoneda reina dejar\u00e1 de seguir a las acciones tecnol\u00f3gicas para \u00ablevitar mec\u00e1nicamente\u00bb al comp\u00e1s de la inflaci\u00f3n monetaria.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Sigue leyendo acerca de las <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/preventa-criptomonedas\/\">mejores preventas de criptomonedas para 2026<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Este escenario se produce mientras el \u00cdndice del D\u00f3lar (DXY) ha ca\u00eddo hasta los 95,6 puntos, su nivel m\u00e1s bajo desde 2021.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":153,"featured_media":5520,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5519","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.7 - 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Graduado en Periodismo por la Universidad Complutense de Madrid, est\u00e1 comprometido con contar las historias clave del ecosistema cripto.","url":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/author\/roger\/"}]}},"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5519","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/153"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5519"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5519\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5522,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5519\/revisions\/5522"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5520"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5519"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5519"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5519"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}