{"id":10957,"date":"2025-09-23T11:00:26","date_gmt":"2025-09-23T11:00:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/?p=10957"},"modified":"2025-09-23T09:42:38","modified_gmt":"2025-09-23T09:42:38","slug":"jpmorgan-fed-rate-cuts-dimon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/jpmorgan-fed-rate-cuts-dimon\/","title":{"rendered":"JPMorgan refroidit l\u2019espoir de baisses de taux successives"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Le contre-pied de Dimon, l&rsquo;inflation en juge de paix<\/h2>\n<p>Le march\u00e9 s&#8217;emballe d\u00e9j\u00e0 pour une s\u00e9rie de baisses : apr\u00e8s un premier assouplissement, les courbes d&rsquo;anticipations parient sur d&rsquo;autres coupes d&rsquo;ici la fin de l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e. <strong>Jamie Dimon<\/strong>, lui, met un coup de frein.<\/p>\n<p>Dans un entretien, Dimon insiste sur un point simple : si l&rsquo;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/faqs\/economy_14419.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"\">inflation<\/a> \u00ab\u00a0ne s&rsquo;en va pas\u00a0\u00bb, r\u00e9duire les taux devient difficile. Il la voit encore accroch\u00e9e autour de 3%, avec plus de raisons de remonter que de baisser.<\/p>\n<p>Autrement dit, mieux vaut une coupe justifi\u00e9e par une <strong>croissance<\/strong> d\u00e9cente qu&rsquo;une baisse arrach\u00e9e par la r\u00e9cession. Ce cadrage casse l&rsquo;id\u00e9e d&rsquo;un chemin tout trac\u00e9 vers des taux plus bas et renvoie le march\u00e9 \u00e0 ses fondamentaux : l&#8217;emploi, les salaires et le prix des services.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/CNBCTV18Exclusive?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#CNBCTV18Exclusive<\/a> |  &quot;I\u2019m a little more cautious on inflation than most. Global deficits, remilitarisation, trade restructuring &#8211; all are inflationary&quot;<a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jpmorgan?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@jpmorgan<\/a> CEO Jamie Dimon tells <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/_prashantnair?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@_prashantnair<\/a> that while the US isn\u2019t in disaster mode, but it is weakening. <\/p>\n<p> <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/JPMorgan?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#JPMorgan<\/a> |\u2026 <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PfXM5ZCZ7u\">pic.twitter.com\/PfXM5ZCZ7u<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; CNBC-TV18 (@CNBCTV18News) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBCTV18News\/status\/1970346312928235680?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 23, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Les march\u00e9s n&rsquo;en d\u00e9mordent pas. Les outils d&rsquo;anticipation <strong>signalent<\/strong> encore une probabilit\u00e9 <strong>\u00e9lev\u00e9e<\/strong> d&rsquo;une nouvelle baisse d\u00e8s la r\u00e9union d&rsquo;octobre, et une autre en d\u00e9cembre.<\/p>\n<p>La logique financi\u00e8re est connue : des taux plus bas stimulent l&rsquo;app\u00e9tit pour le risque, et la crypto en <strong>profite<\/strong> souvent en deuxi\u00e8me rideau, une fois les flux sortis des fonds mon\u00e9taires. Mais ces probabilit\u00e9s bougent vite au gr\u00e9 des donn\u00e9es, et le rappel de Dimon p\u00e8se dans la balance.<\/p>\n<h2>Crypto et actifs risqu\u00e9s : une pouss\u00e9e, mais sous conditions<\/h2>\n<p>La m\u00e9canique est famili\u00e8re. Lorsque le co\u00fbt de l&rsquo;argent recule, les <strong>investisseurs<\/strong> se tol\u00e8rent plus de risque, et Bitcoin capte une partie du mouvement.<\/p>\n<p>Apr\u00e8s la coupe de 25 points de base intervenue en <strong>2025<\/strong>, l&rsquo;actif a d&rsquo;ailleurs bri\u00e8vement acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9. Reste que le chef de file de JPMorgan envoie un signal de prudence : si l&rsquo;inflation colle au plancher, l&rsquo;\u00e9lan peut se d\u00e9liter plus vite qu&rsquo;esp\u00e9r\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Jamie Dimon Exclusive | On H-1B Shock, India-US Trade, Fed, Dollar &amp; AI Boom | CNBC TV18 | N18V\" width=\"474\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/KaReGjD3s-E?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>L&rsquo;\u00e9cart entre l&rsquo;espoir de cinq baisses sur douze mois et la capacit\u00e9 r\u00e9elle de la Fed \u00e0 livrer ce programme ouvre un halo d&rsquo;incertitude. Pour la crypto, la cl\u00e9 n&rsquo;est pas seulement \u00ab\u00a0combien\u00a0\u00bb mais \u00ab\u00a0pourquoi\u00a0\u00bb : une baisse valid\u00e9e par un reflux des prix nourrit un cycle durable, une baisse arrach\u00e9e par la faiblesse conjoncturelle peut, \u00e0 l&rsquo;inverse, refermer la fen\u00eatre apr\u00e8s un <strong>sursaut<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2>Pas de menace existentielle pour les banques<\/h2>\n<p>Interrog\u00e9 sur les stablecoins, Dimon se montre <strong>pragmatique<\/strong>. Il dit ne pas \u00eatre \u00ab\u00a0particuli\u00e8rement inquiet\u00a0\u00bb pour les banques.<\/p>\n<p>Le sujet m\u00e9rite vigilance, mais n&rsquo;annonce pas, \u00e0 ses yeux, un choc <strong>syst\u00e9mique<\/strong>. Il observe que des utilisateurs hors des \u00c9tats-Unis peuvent pr\u00e9f\u00e9rer d\u00e9tenir des dollars via des <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/stablecoins-surveillance-sans-freiner-adoption\/\">stablecoins<\/a> plut\u00f4t que par le canal bancaire, pour des raisons tr\u00e8s diverses.<\/p>\n<p>Dans le m\u00eame temps, les \u00e9tablissements \u00e9tudient des voies communes, jusqu&rsquo;\u00e0 l&rsquo;id\u00e9e d&rsquo;un consortium, pour \u00e9mettre un jeton adoss\u00e9 qui respecterait les exigences prudentielles.<\/p>\n<p>Le cadre l\u00e9gislatif adopt\u00e9 cet \u00e9t\u00e9 aux \u00c9tats-Unis a clarifi\u00e9 une partie du terrain, m\u00eame si des groupes bancaires r\u00e9clament de serrer davantage les r\u00e8gles sur la r\u00e9mun\u00e9ration potentielle des tokens et leurs <strong>effets d&rsquo;\u00e9viction<\/strong> sur les d\u00e9p\u00f4ts bancaires.<\/p>\n<p>Dimon refroidit les paris sur une s\u00e9rie de coupes rapides et renvoie le march\u00e9 au juge unique de 2025-2026, l&rsquo;<strong>inflation<\/strong>. Les anticipations restent g\u00e9n\u00e9reuses, mais fragiles.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00f4t\u00e9 crypto, la d\u00e9tente mon\u00e9taire reste un vent porteur, \u00e0 condition qu&rsquo;elle accompagne un reflux r\u00e9el des prix. Sur les stablecoins, le diagnostic est pos\u00e9 : sujet \u00e0 suivre, pas une menace <strong>existentielle<\/strong> imm\u00e9diate.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>\u00c0 lire aussi :<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/la-fed-bitcoin-rallye\/\">La Fed baisse les taux, Bitcoin aux portes d&rsquo;un nouveau rallye ?<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/bitcoin-chute-reduction-fed\/\">Bitcoin chute apr\u00e8s la r\u00e9duction des taux de la Fed<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/stablecoins-surveillance-sans-freiner-adoption\/\">Les stablecoins sous surveillance : r\u00e9guler sans freiner l&rsquo;adoption<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<a class=\"infinscroll_next_page_link\" style=\"display:none\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/live-bitcoin-ethereum-xrp-bitcoin-hyper-pi-network-actualite-23-septembre-2025\/\" rel=\"prev\">next<\/a>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Selon le patron de la premi\u00e8re banque am\u00e9ricaine, tant que l&rsquo;inflation ne reflue pas franchement, la banque centrale aura du mal \u00e0 multiplier les all\u00e8gements. Message \u00e0 contre-courant d&rsquo;un consensus qui voit large, mais qui rappelle une \u00e9vidence : la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale arbitre d&rsquo;abord la trajectoire des prix.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":200,"featured_media":10958,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10957","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actu","category-bitcoin"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>JPMorgan refroidit l\u2019espoir de baisses de taux successives<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le march\u00e9 anticipe plusieurs baisses de taux, mais Jamie Dimon (JPMorgan) estime que la Fed pourrait rester immobile.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, 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Roux","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2025\/06\/cropped-pp-1-96x96.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2025\/06\/cropped-pp-1-96x96.png","caption":"Emmanuel Roux"},"description":"Issu de la finance traditionnelle, j\u2019ai naturellement bascul\u00e9 vers l\u2019univers crypto, attir\u00e9 par son potentiel. Je souhaite y apporter mon approche analytique et rationnelle, tout en conservant ma curiosit\u00e9. En dehors de l\u2019\u00e9cran, je lis beaucoup (\u00e9conomie, essais, un peu de science-fiction) et je prends plaisir \u00e0 bricoler. Le DIY, pour moi, c\u2019est comme la crypto : comprendre, tester, construire soi-m\u00eame.","url":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/author\/emmanuel\/"}]}},"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10957","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/200"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10957"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10957\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10960,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10957\/revisions\/10960"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10958"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10957"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10957"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10957"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}