{"id":13462,"date":"2025-10-15T11:30:23","date_gmt":"2025-10-15T11:30:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/?p=13462"},"modified":"2025-10-15T10:44:58","modified_gmt":"2025-10-15T10:44:58","slug":"prediction-eth-10000-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/prediction-eth-10000-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Malgr\u00e9 le crash, Hayes et Lee voient Ethereum \u00e0 10 000$"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Cap maintenu sur 10 000 $ : le pari Hayes et Lee<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/chute-francaise-essor-bitcoin\/\">Hayes<\/a> assume la ligne droite : la th\u00e8se tient au r\u00e9gime de liquidit\u00e9 global et \u00e0 la fonction d&rsquo;Ethereum comme actif programmable \u00e0 revenus on-chain.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/tom-lee-vise-un-ethereum\/\">Tom Lee<\/a>, lui, ajoute une lecture de cycle : quatre ans de consolidation, un d\u00e9bordement de range, puis la phase o\u00f9 l&rsquo;on teste des paliers sup\u00e9rieurs sans forc\u00e9ment signer un top.<\/p>\n<p>La cible s&rsquo;inscrit dans ce sch\u00e9ma. Elle n&rsquo;exige pas une fr\u00e9n\u00e9sie, seulement des flux r\u00e9guliers et une <strong>profondeur redevenue suffisante<\/strong> pour encaisser les \u00e0-coups.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Arise Chikun, it&#39;s time&#8230;<a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24ETH&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$ETH<\/a> = $10,000<\/p>\n<p>Yachtzee\ud83d\ude0d\ud83d\ude0d\ud83d\ude0d\ud83d\ude0d\ud83d\ude0d\ud83d\ude0d\ud83d\ude0d\ud83d\ude0d <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zRGlPh9LTJ\">pic.twitter.com\/zRGlPh9LTJ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoHayes\/status\/1943218754764075218?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 10, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>La purge a fait une partie du travail. L&rsquo;open interest s&rsquo;est d\u00e9gonfl\u00e9. Les appels de marge ont cess\u00e9 d&rsquo;eux-m\u00eames d\u00e8s que la contrepartie est revenue. Ce n&rsquo;est pas 2020, ce n&rsquo;est pas FTX.<\/p>\n<p>C&rsquo;est un reset o\u00f9 les positions trop charg\u00e9es ont disparu, laissant place \u00e0 des acheteurs plus disciplin\u00e9s et \u00e0 des books moins nerveux. C&rsquo;est pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment dans ces fen\u00eatres que les <strong>tendances de fond<\/strong> peuvent repartir.<\/p>\n<h2>Apr\u00e8s la purge : un march\u00e9 assaini plut\u00f4t qu&rsquo;un mur<\/h2>\n<p>Vendredi a frapp\u00e9 fort. En une journ\u00e9e, le march\u00e9 a vu des milliards de positions partir en fum\u00e9e et des volumes record sur les DEX comme sur les protocoles de lending.<\/p>\n<p>Pourtant, les m\u00e9triques ont envoy\u00e9 un signal plus constructif qu&rsquo;il n&rsquo;y para\u00eet. La chute de l&rsquo;open interest sur les perps n&rsquo;a pas \u00e9t\u00e9 une h\u00e9morragie interminable.<\/p>\n<p>Elle ressemble \u00e0 un <strong>d\u00e9sendettement massif<\/strong>, rapide, qui retire l&rsquo;\u00e9tincelle des cascades futures. Quand l&rsquo;effet de levier cesse d&rsquo;\u00eatre l&rsquo;alpha dominant, la hi\u00e9rarchie des actifs se recompose sur des bases plus saines : usage, revenus on-chain et qualit\u00e9 des carnets.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Crypto Crash. 10 Oct 2025, Sean Vengan <br \/>A sea of RED. Crypto markets are crashing following Friday&#39;s sell-off, and the S&amp;P accelerated sell-off at Friday&#39;s close.<a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/CryptoCrash?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#CryptoCrash<\/a> <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BTCUSD?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#BTCUSD<\/a> <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/ETH?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#ETH<\/a> <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/mfpmf8kMrd\">pic.twitter.com\/mfpmf8kMrd<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Crypto Trading Mastery | Sean Vengan (@LearnHowToTrad3) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LearnHowToTrad3\/status\/1976759689242460643?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 10, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>C&rsquo;est l\u00e0 que l&rsquo;optimisme de Hayes et Lee se trouve. Pour viser 10 000, ETH n&rsquo;a pas besoin d&rsquo;un rallye vertical.<\/p>\n<p>Il a besoin d&rsquo;un filet d&rsquo;achats r\u00e9currents et d&rsquo;un narrative cr\u00e9dible pour les allocataires traditionnels. Les <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/ethereum-attire-216m-etf-seuil-5k-incertain\/\">ETF spot<\/a> ont ouvert une porte.<\/p>\n<p>La self-custody entretient l&rsquo;autre. Entre les deux, les flux peuvent s&rsquo;additionner sans exiger de la foule qu&rsquo;elle court apr\u00e8s la m\u00e8che.<\/p>\n<h2>Ce qui peut porter ETH : flux entrants et usages<\/h2>\n<p>Le catalyseur le plus lisible reste l&rsquo;utilit\u00e9. Plus de transactions utiles, plus de frais r\u00e9gl\u00e9s, plus de <strong>blockspace demand\u00e9<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>De la DeFi qui ne se contente pas de recycler du levier. Des paiements, de la tokenisation, des jeux qui tiennent la charge.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c0 mesure que ces briques tournent, les revenus on-chain soutiennent la prime de valeur. C\u00f4t\u00e9 flux, l&rsquo;angle institutionnel compte.<\/p>\n<p>Les ETFs ancrent une demande m\u00e9thodique, moins sensible aux m\u00e8ches. Les tr\u00e9soreries crypto-natives et les fonds multi-strat\u00e9gies compl\u00e8tent la courbe, surtout si les spreads se resserrent et que l&rsquo;\u00e9cart perps-spot reste mesur\u00e9.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">LIVE NOW &#8211; Tom Lee &amp; Arthur Hayes: How Crypto Flips Wall Street<\/p>\n<p>This might be the most bullish Bankless episode ever.<a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/fundstrat?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@fundstrat<\/a> &amp; <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoHayes?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@CryptoHayes<\/a> go on record:<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; BTC: $200\u2013250k<br \/>&#8211; ETH: $10\u201312k<\/p>\n<p>They unpack <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BitMNR?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@BitMNR<\/a>\u2019s ETH accumulation, tokenization, stablecoins, perps vs. leveraged\u2026 <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/HiY9Tl91Bo\">pic.twitter.com\/HiY9Tl91Bo<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Bankless (@BanklessHQ) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BanklessHQ\/status\/1977705882218848528?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 13, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Techniquement, la route jusqu&rsquo;\u00e0 10 000 passe par des \u00e9tages : une reprise durable au-dessus des anciens sommets, la reconstruction d&rsquo;open interest sans emballement. Et un funding proche du neutre, signe d&rsquo;un march\u00e9 qui avance sans b\u00e9quilles.<\/p>\n<h2>Les chiffres qui freinent encore<\/h2>\n<p>Rien n&rsquo;oblige le march\u00e9 \u00e0 ob\u00e9ir au calendrier. L&rsquo;historique de saisonnalit\u00e9 reste modeste pour un tel objectif : en moyenne, le quatri\u00e8me trimestre d&rsquo;ETH tourne autour d&rsquo;une vingtaine de % depuis 2016.<\/p>\n<p>Autrement dit, la saisonnalit\u00e9 seule m\u00e8ne plus pr\u00e8s de 5 000 que de 10 000. Il faut donc des <strong>moteurs suppl\u00e9mentaires<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>D&rsquo;abord, la stabilit\u00e9 macro : des chocs commerciaux ou de nouvelles hausses de primes de risque peuvent figer la contrepartie en quelques minutes. Ensuite, la concurrence d&rsquo;autres layers performants, qui capte une partie de la demande de blockspace quand les frais montent.<\/p>\n<p>Enfin, la microstructure : pas de bullrun soutenable si les carnets se vident au premier titre anxiog\u00e8ne. Cela n&rsquo;invalide pas la cible.<\/p>\n<p>Cela fixe les conditions. Pour que <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/ethereum-9-000-pourquoi-cest-possible\/\">10 000 devienne plausible<\/a>, il faut un march\u00e9 qui avance par paliers, des flux qui ne d\u00e9pendent pas d&rsquo;une seule porte d&rsquo;entr\u00e9e et des usages qui consomment r\u00e9ellement du r\u00e9seau.<\/p>\n<p>Sur ce terrain, Ethereum poss\u00e8de des atouts que la purge r\u00e9cente n&rsquo;a pas \u00e9rod\u00e9s. Si les prochains relev\u00e9s confirment la normalisation des funding, la reconstruction d&rsquo;open interest et la mont\u00e9e d&rsquo;activit\u00e9 on-chain, la trajectoire haussi\u00e8re gagnera en cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 \u00e0 mesure qu&rsquo;elle grimpe.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>\u00c0 lire aussi :<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/predictions-hayes-bitcoin-ethereum-hype\/\">Arthur Hayes pr\u00e9dit un HYPE x126 et un super-cycle crypto jusqu&rsquo;en 2028<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/tom-lee-vise-un-ethereum\/\">Tom Lee vise un Ethereum \u00e0 16 000 $ le ratio ETH\/BTC relanc\u00e9<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/eth-compression-offre\/\">ETH : compression de l&rsquo;offre, flux n\u00e9gatifs et adoption vers 9000 \u20ac ?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<a class=\"infinscroll_next_page_link\" style=\"display:none\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/sorare-solana-ceo-bullish-ethereum\/\" rel=\"prev\">next<\/a>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ethereum peut encore doubler d&rsquo;ici la fin de l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e. C&rsquo;est le c\u0153ur du message d&rsquo;Arthur Hayes et de Tom Lee, rest\u00e9 intact malgr\u00e9 une s\u00e9ance de liquidations record. \u00c0 environ 4 100 dollars, la cible de 10 000 dollars implique pr\u00e8s de 142% de progression.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":200,"featured_media":13465,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13462","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actu"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Malgr\u00e9 le crash, Hayes et Lee voient Ethereum \u00e0 10 000$<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Tom Lee et Arthur Hayes maintiennent leur objectif : Ethereum pourrait atteindre 10 000 $ avant la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, malgr\u00e9 la 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Le DIY, pour moi, c\u2019est comme la crypto : comprendre, tester, construire soi-m\u00eame.","url":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/author\/emmanuel\/"}]}},"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13462","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/200"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13462"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13462\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13479,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13462\/revisions\/13479"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13465"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13462"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13462"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13462"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}