{"id":17642,"date":"2025-11-19T17:32:44","date_gmt":"2025-11-19T17:32:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/?p=17642"},"modified":"2025-11-19T17:32:44","modified_gmt":"2025-11-19T17:32:44","slug":"coinbase-prediction-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/coinbase-prediction-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Coinbase pr\u00e9pare en secret sa plateforme de march\u00e9 de pr\u00e9dictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Kalshi en coulisses, Coinbase en vitrine<\/h2>\n<p>Ce montage n&rsquo;arrive pas de nulle part. <strong>Depuis novembre, Coinbase et Kalshi travaillent officiellement ensemble<\/strong> : l&rsquo;exchange sert de d\u00e9positaire pour les contrats d&rsquo;\u00e9v\u00e9nements libell\u00e9s en USDC sur Kalshi.<\/p>\n<p>Le futur site rep\u00e9r\u00e9 par Wong semble \u00eatre une surcouche qui r\u00e9utilise ce moteur r\u00e9glement\u00e9, mais sous la marque <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/coinbase-rachete-echo-375m\/\">Coinbase<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Les captures \u00e9voquent des d\u00e9p\u00f4ts en dollars ou en USDC et une palette classique de march\u00e9s de pr\u00e9diction : \u00e9conomie, sport, science, politique, technologie.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Coinbase is working on Prediction Market <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0T3HwdXmDy\">pic.twitter.com\/0T3HwdXmDy<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Jane Manchun Wong (@wongmjane) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/wongmjane\/status\/1990905018602705093?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 18, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>L&rsquo;id\u00e9e est simple : permettre aux utilisateurs de parier sur des r\u00e9sultats d&rsquo;\u00e9v\u00e9nements mesurables, avec un habillage beaucoup plus \u00ab\u00a0grand public\u00a0\u00bb que les interfaces tr\u00e8s brutes des plateformes onchain.<\/p>\n<h2>Le boom des march\u00e9s de pr\u00e9diction, nouveau filon des exchanges<\/h2>\n<p>En toile de fond, le timing est loin d&rsquo;\u00eatre anodin. <strong>Les march\u00e9s de pr\u00e9diction connaissent un regain spectaculaire depuis le d\u00e9but de l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/polymarket-retour-beta-us\/\">Polymarket<\/a> enregistre des volumes records sur l&rsquo;\u00e9lection am\u00e9ricaine, <a href=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kalshi<\/a> multiplie les contrats autour de la macro et de la politique publique, et le grand public se familiarise peu \u00e0 peu avec cette id\u00e9e de \u00ab\u00a0parier sur l&rsquo;information\u00a0\u00bb plut\u00f4t que sur un simple prix de token.<\/p>\n<p>Les autres exchanges ont bien compris le signal. Crypto.com a d\u00e9j\u00e0 lanc\u00e9 sa propre offre et pr\u00e9voit de l&rsquo;int\u00e9grer \u00e0 l&rsquo;\u00e9cosyst\u00e8me Trump Media.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"zxx\" dir=\"ltr\"><a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/aNEt4KuGRc\">https:\/\/t.co\/aNEt4KuGRc<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; SiGMA World (@SiGMAworld_) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SiGMAworld_\/status\/1947620557727437183?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 22, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Gemini, de son c\u00f4t\u00e9, parle d&rsquo;une \u00ab\u00a0super app\u00a0\u00bb o\u00f9 les march\u00e9s de pr\u00e9diction tiendraient une place importante et a d\u00e9pos\u00e9 un dossier aupr\u00e8s de la CFTC. Dans ce contexte, voir <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/coinbase-quitte-delaware-pour-le-texas-redessine-lecosysteme-crypto\/\">Coinbase<\/a> rester en retrait aurait \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9tonnant.<\/p>\n<p>La fuite de Wong sugg\u00e8re simplement que le chantier est plus avanc\u00e9 que ce que la communication officielle laisse entendre.<\/p>\n<h2>Un outil d&rsquo;acquisition\u2026 et de r\u00e9tention<\/h2>\n<p>Pour Coinbase, les march\u00e9s de pr\u00e9diction ne sont pas seulement un produit de plus au catalogue. <strong>C&rsquo;est aussi un moyen de r\u00e9duire sa d\u00e9pendance au cycle pur des prix crypto.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Un bull market attire spontan\u00e9ment des traders au comptant, mais dans une phase plus ti\u00e8de, des contrats li\u00e9s \u00e0 la politique, \u00e0 la m\u00e9t\u00e9o, au sport ou \u00e0 la macro peuvent garder les utilisateurs actifs, m\u00eame si le Bitcoin bouge moins. Le choix de l&rsquo;USDC comme rail de paiement joue aussi un r\u00f4le strat\u00e9gique.<\/p>\n<p>En incitant les utilisateurs \u00e0 tenir leur tr\u00e9sorerie en stablecoin plut\u00f4t qu&rsquo;en fiat, Coinbase renforce la place de l&rsquo;USDC dans l&rsquo;\u00e9cosyst\u00e8me, consolide ses revenus autour des flux et des int\u00e9r\u00eats, et se met en meilleure position pour d&rsquo;autres cas d&rsquo;usage tokenis\u00e9s. Reste la question de la fronti\u00e8re r\u00e9glementaire.<\/p>\n<p>Kalshi op\u00e8re d\u00e9j\u00e0 dans un cadre strict, surveill\u00e9 de pr\u00e8s, notamment sur les paris \u00e0 caract\u00e8re politique.<\/p>\n<p>En s&rsquo;adossant \u00e0 cet acteur plut\u00f4t qu&rsquo;en lan\u00e7ant sa propre infra de z\u00e9ro, Coinbase limite une partie des risques, mais s&rsquo;expose de fait \u00e0 ce d\u00e9bat permanent : jusqu&rsquo;o\u00f9 un march\u00e9 de pr\u00e9diction reste-il un outil d&rsquo;information et \u00e0 partir de quand devient-il du pari pur et simple ?<\/p>\n<h2>Coinbase, de simple exchange \u00e0 plateforme \u00ab\u00a0tout-en-un\u00a0\u00bb<\/h2>\n<p>En quelques ann\u00e9es, Coinbase est pass\u00e9e d&rsquo;une simple rampe d&rsquo;acc\u00e8s au Bitcoin \u00e0 un ensemble de services : garde institutionnelle, produits d\u00e9riv\u00e9s, yield sur stablecoins, int\u00e9grations Web3, cartes de paiement.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Coinbase is becoming the everything exchange.<\/p>\n<p>All assets will inevitably move onchain, so we want to have everything you want to trade in one place.<\/p>\n<p>Incoming: DEX integration (access millions of assets) + expansion of our derivatives offerings.<\/p>\n<p>Next: tokenized equities + more. <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/56Bp6seJ9q\">pic.twitter.com\/56Bp6seJ9q<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Brian Armstrong (@brian_armstrong) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/brian_armstrong\/status\/1951017502923956282?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 31, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Ajouter une couche de march\u00e9s de pr\u00e9diction, connect\u00e9e \u00e0 l&rsquo;USDC et \u00e0 l&rsquo;infra de d\u00e9riv\u00e9s existante, prolonge cette logique de \u00ab\u00a0place de march\u00e9 universelle\u00a0\u00bb autour des actifs num\u00e9riques. Rien ne garantit pour l&rsquo;instant que la version rep\u00e9r\u00e9e par Wong est d\u00e9finitive.<\/p>\n<p>Coinbase peut encore modifier l&rsquo;angle, retarder le lancement ou r\u00e9server l&rsquo;acc\u00e8s \u00e0 certains profils utilisateurs. Mais le message implicite est clair : les grandes plateformes ne comptent plus se contenter de lister des tokens.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>\u00c0 lire aussi :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/polymarket-retour-beta-us\/\">Polymarket fait son come-back aux \u00c9tats-Unis avec une version b\u00eata<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a rel=\"nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/google-polymarket-kalshi-predictions-crypto\/\">Google affiche d\u00e9sormais les pr\u00e9dictions crypto de Polymarket et Kalshi<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/polymarket-valorisation-15-milliards\/\">Polymarket vise une valorisation record \u00e0 15 milliards$<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<a class=\"infinscroll_next_page_link\" style=\"display:none\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/grok-voit-maxidoge-creer-millionnaires-2026\/\" rel=\"prev\">next<\/a>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Coinbase n&rsquo;a encore rien annonc\u00e9 officiellement, mais la machine est d\u00e9j\u00e0 en route.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":200,"featured_media":17549,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17642","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actu"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Coinbase pr\u00e9pare en secret sa plateforme de march\u00e9 de pr\u00e9dictions<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Une chercheuse r\u00e9v\u00e8le que Coinbase pr\u00e9pare sa propre plateforme de prediction markets, apparemment adoss\u00e9e \u00e0 Kalshi.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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Roux","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2025\/06\/cropped-pp-1-96x96.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2025\/06\/cropped-pp-1-96x96.png","caption":"Emmanuel Roux"},"description":"Issu de la finance traditionnelle, j\u2019ai naturellement bascul\u00e9 vers l\u2019univers crypto, attir\u00e9 par son potentiel. Je souhaite y apporter mon approche analytique et rationnelle, tout en conservant ma curiosit\u00e9. En dehors de l\u2019\u00e9cran, je lis beaucoup (\u00e9conomie, essais, un peu de science-fiction) et je prends plaisir \u00e0 bricoler. Le DIY, pour moi, c\u2019est comme la crypto : comprendre, tester, construire soi-m\u00eame.","url":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/author\/emmanuel\/"}]}},"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17642","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/200"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17642"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17642\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17647,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17642\/revisions\/17647"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17549"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17642"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17642"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17642"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}