{"id":23509,"date":"2026-08-18T17:57:03","date_gmt":"2026-08-18T17:57:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/?p=23509"},"modified":"2026-08-17T09:58:47","modified_gmt":"2026-08-17T09:58:47","slug":"bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin : Le prix du BTC stagne sous les 64 000 $"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le volume d&rsquo;\u00e9change au comptant (spot) du Bitcoin est tomb\u00e9 \u00e0 son point le plus bas depuis que Glassnode a commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 suivre cette s\u00e9rie de donn\u00e9es d\u00e9but 2019, d&rsquo;apr\u00e8s les informations partag\u00e9es par Wu Blockchain. Parall\u00e8lement, la volatilit\u00e9 du Bitcoin s&rsquo;est contract\u00e9e \u00e0 des niveaux in\u00e9dits depuis octobre 2023, comme le souligne une publication de Crypto Rover.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cette situation ne ressemble pas \u00e0 un simple calme estival. Il s&rsquo;agit d&rsquo;un march\u00e9 o\u00f9 les deux forces qui r\u00e9solvent habituellement une phase de lat\u00e9ralisation \u2014 une demande nouvelle et les ventes forc\u00e9es \u2014 sont absentes. Le prix se retrouve ainsi coinc\u00e9 entre deux niveaux de prix de revient qui convergent de plus en plus.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"The Critical Bitcoin Level That Decides the Next Move\" width=\"474\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/YcXIUF3hEVQ?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\r\n<p><\/p>\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Configuration d&rsquo;une cassure : Prix r\u00e9alis\u00e9 m\u00e9dian vs Plancher des d\u00e9tenteurs \u00e0 court terme<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le BTC est actuellement pris en \u00e9tau entre le prix r\u00e9alis\u00e9 m\u00e9dian de 63 000 $, qui fait office de support car il repr\u00e9sente le point m\u00e9dian du prix de revient de l&rsquo;ensemble des d\u00e9tenteurs, et le prix de revient des d\u00e9tenteurs \u00e0 court terme situ\u00e9 \u00e0 68 700 $.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ce dernier niveau agit comme un plafond, repr\u00e9sentant le point d&rsquo;entr\u00e9e moyen des acheteurs r\u00e9cents. Les recherches de Glassnode pour la semaine 32 d\u00e9crivent cette zone comme une poche occup\u00e9e par le prix depuis pr\u00e8s de trois mois, avec des bornes qui se resserrent \u00e0 mesure que la volatilit\u00e9 se comprime.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L&rsquo;analyste Ted Pillows a not\u00e9 que le Bitcoin n&rsquo;a pas r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 se maintenir au-dessus des 65 000 $, m\u00eame lorsque les actions et les m\u00e9taux progressaient, une divergence qu&rsquo;il interpr\u00e8te comme une perte de momentum. Ses analyses graphiques sugg\u00e8rent un glissement possible vers les 60 500 $ \u2013 61 000 $ avant tout rebond, un niveau que le BTC a d\u00e9j\u00e0 test\u00e9 lors de pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes p\u00e9riodes estivales calmes.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, Glassnode a identifi\u00e9 les 58 500 $, le point bas de juin, comme le niveau \u00e0 surveiller si le prix r\u00e9alis\u00e9 m\u00e9dian venait \u00e0 c\u00e9der. Le cabinet avertit que la faible profondeur des carnets d&rsquo;ordres et l&rsquo;effet de levier important pourraient acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer tout mouvement de rupture. Pour plus de d\u00e9tails sur la dynamique actuelle, vous pouvez consulter cette <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/bitcoin-price-consolidation-analysis\/\">analyse de la consolidation du prix du Bitcoin<\/a>.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> is getting rejected from the $64,500-$65,000 resistance level.<br><br>ETFs are selling again, which is taking away a buying demand.<br><br>The key support level for Bitcoin now is $62,000-$62,500, which might get retested next. <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/9OIVeWnNuk\">pic.twitter.com\/9OIVeWnNuk<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Ted (@TedPillows) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TedPillows\/status\/2087825397597524343?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 13, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ventes de baleines et faible demande des ETF : des perspectives incertaines<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les donn\u00e9es on-chain de Lookonchain r\u00e9v\u00e8lent qu&rsquo;un portefeuille li\u00e9 \u00e0 Paxos a vendu 800 BTC suppl\u00e9mentaires, soit environ 50,72 millions de dollars, via la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 de trading Wintermute.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ce m\u00eame portefeuille a d\u00e9lest\u00e9 2 500 BTC au cours des deux derniers mois, pour une valeur proche de 154 millions de dollars. Ces ventes, effectu\u00e9es de mani\u00e8re r\u00e9guli\u00e8re plut\u00f4t qu&rsquo;en un seul bloc, cr\u00e9ent une pression qui fait rarement chuter le march\u00e9 \u00e0 elle seule, mais qui sature l&rsquo;offre \u00e0 un moment o\u00f9 les acheteurs sont d\u00e9j\u00e0 h\u00e9sitants.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les ETF Bitcoin au comptant aux \u00c9tats-Unis ont enregistr\u00e9 des sorties nettes de 61,16 millions de dollars le 12 ao\u00fbt, men\u00e9es par les 46,82 millions de dollars retir\u00e9s du fonds FBTC de Fidelity. Conjugu\u00e9es au volume spot le plus faible de l&rsquo;historique de Glassnode, ces sorties sugg\u00e8rent que la demande institutionnelle s&rsquo;est refroidie, confirmant le tableau d\u00e9crit dans cette <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/bitcoin-price-ai-rotation-etf-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"\">analyse r\u00e9cente sur l&rsquo;effet de levier et la demande de Bitcoin<\/a>.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Sellers are getting exhausted, but have not reached  levels we saw in past bitcoin:native bear markets.<br><br>According to the Seller Exhaustion Constant (30d), the historical bottoming signature has not confirmed yet. <br><br>We continue to monitor for selling to stall further. <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PKCel2UEEG\">pic.twitter.com\/PKCel2UEEG<\/a><\/p>&mdash; glassnode (@glassnode) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/glassnode\/status\/2087221902146424910?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 11, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussiers et baissiers pour le cours du Bitcoin<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Une reconqu\u00eate durable du prix de revient des d\u00e9tenteurs \u00e0 court terme \u00e0 68 700 $, accompagn\u00e9e d&rsquo;une hausse du volume spot et d&rsquo;un retour des flux entrants dans les ETF, remettrait les acheteurs r\u00e9cents en profit et ouvrirait la voie vers de nouveaux sommets locaux.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Crypto Rover a soulign\u00e9 que la derni\u00e8re fois que la volatilit\u00e9 du Bitcoin s&rsquo;est contract\u00e9e de fa\u00e7on aussi serr\u00e9e, en octobre 2023, le BTC a ensuite progress\u00e9 de plus de 330 %. Il s&rsquo;agit d&rsquo;un parall\u00e8le historique et non d&rsquo;une pr\u00e9vision, mais c&rsquo;est un indicateur que les traders surveillent de pr\u00e8s.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 l&rsquo;inverse, une cassure d\u00e9cisive sous le prix r\u00e9alis\u00e9 m\u00e9dian de 63 000 $ supprimerait le principal support du march\u00e9. Cela exposerait d&rsquo;abord la zone des 60 500 $ \u2013 61 000 $, puis les 58 500 $ si la vente s&rsquo;acc\u00e9l\u00e8re.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bien que les indicateurs d&rsquo;\u00e9puisement des vendeurs de Glassnode approchent des niveaux observ\u00e9s lors des points bas des cycles baissiers pass\u00e9s, les recherches notent que la demande spot r\u00e9elle reste faible, avec des pi\u00e8ces qui continuent de circuler vers les plateformes d&rsquo;\u00e9change malgr\u00e9 les signes de fatigue des vendeurs.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Une autre variable macro\u00e9conomique m\u00e9rite attention : le risque d&rsquo;un choc global sur les taux d&rsquo;int\u00e9r\u00eat, un th\u00e8me explor\u00e9 dans ce <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/bitcoin-news-today-boj-rate-hike-carry-trade-risk\/\">rapport r\u00e9cent sur les risques de d\u00e9nouement du carry-trade<\/a>. Un tel \u00e9v\u00e9nement pourrait forcer la r\u00e9solution directionnelle que cette fourchette compress\u00e9e a \u00e9vit\u00e9e jusqu&rsquo;\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pour l&rsquo;instant, la minceur des ordres d&rsquo;achat et les volumes historiquement bas signifient que le premier camp \u00e0 bouger \u2014 acheteurs ou vendeurs \u2014 est susceptible d&rsquo;entra\u00eener le march\u00e9 bien au-del\u00e0 des limites de la fourchette r\u00e9cente.<\/p>\r\n<a class=\"infinscroll_next_page_link\" style=\"display:none\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/ripple-50-millions-xrp-transferts-binance-analyse-prix\/\" rel=\"prev\">next<\/a>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le cours du Bitcoin a oscill\u00e9 entre 63 000 $ et 64 000 $ cette semaine, selon les donn\u00e9es de CoinGecko, restant ainsi en dessous du seuil psychologique des 65 000 $ qu&rsquo;il peine \u00e0 maintenir ces derniers jours.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":200,"featured_media":23508,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23509","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actu"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin : Le prix du BTC stagne sous les 65 000 $<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin stagne entre 63k$ et 64k$. 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Entre compression de volatilit\u00e9 et sorties des ETF, d\u00e9couvrez les niveaux cl\u00e9s pour le prochain mouvement","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis\/","og_locale":"fr_FR","og_type":"article","og_title":"Bitcoin : Le prix du BTC stagne sous les 65 000 $","og_description":"Bitcoin stagne entre 63k$ et 64k$. Entre compression de volatilit\u00e9 et sorties des ETF, d\u00e9couvrez les niveaux cl\u00e9s pour le prochain mouvement","og_url":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis\/","og_site_name":"Coinspeaker France","article_published_time":"2026-08-18T17:57:03+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":675,"url":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/08\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis-featured.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Emmanuel Roux","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Emmanuel Roux","Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e":"5 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis\/"},"author":{"name":"Emmanuel Roux","@id":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/#\/schema\/person\/cd746f0f0b55932ac38810aadfc14ee7"},"headline":"Bitcoin : Le prix du BTC stagne sous les 64 000 $","datePublished":"2026-08-18T17:57:03+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis\/"},"wordCount":902,"commentCount":0,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/08\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis-featured.jpg","articleSection":["Actualit\u00e9s"],"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis\/#respond"]}],"copyrightYear":"2026","copyrightHolder":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/#organization"}},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis\/","url":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis\/","name":"Bitcoin : Le prix du BTC stagne sous les 65 000 $","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/08\/bitcoin-price-volatility-compression-etf-outflows-analysis-featured.jpg","datePublished":"2026-08-18T17:57:03+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/#\/schema\/person\/cd746f0f0b55932ac38810aadfc14ee7"},"description":"Bitcoin stagne entre 63k$ et 64k$. 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Je souhaite y apporter mon approche analytique et rationnelle, tout en conservant ma curiosit\u00e9. En dehors de l\u2019\u00e9cran, je lis beaucoup (\u00e9conomie, essais, un peu de science-fiction) et je prends plaisir \u00e0 bricoler. Le DIY, pour moi, c\u2019est comme la crypto : comprendre, tester, construire soi-m\u00eame.","url":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/author\/emmanuel\/"}]}},"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23509","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/200"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23509"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23509\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23510,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23509\/revisions\/23510"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23508"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23509"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23509"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23509"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}