{"id":11950,"date":"2026-02-06T19:49:07","date_gmt":"2026-02-06T10:49:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/?p=11950"},"modified":"2026-02-06T19:49:07","modified_gmt":"2026-02-06T10:49:07","slug":"analyst-planb-presents-4-scenarios-for-the-bear-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/analyst-planb-presents-4-scenarios-for-the-bear-market\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8 PlanB, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc57d\uc138\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c 4\uac00\uc9c0 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \uc81c\uc2dc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778(BTC) \uac00\uaca9\uc740 2\uc6d4 5\uc77c 7\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 276\ub9cc \uc6d0)\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8 \ud50c\ub79cB(PlanB)\ub294 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc57d\uc138 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \uc811\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc800\uc810\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\uc77c\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud50c\ub79cB\ub294 \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ub124 \uac00\uc9c0 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 1\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uc5d0 \uc57d 7\ub9cc 8,000\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 1,450\ub9cc \uc6d0)\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 10\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub358 \uace0\uc810 12\ub9cc 6,000\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 8,496\ub9cc \uc6d0) \ub300\ube44 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/bitcoin-drops-below-73k-mining-stocks-plummet\/\">\uc57d 40% \ud558\ub77d<\/a>\ud55c \uc218\uce58\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218(RSI: Relative Strength Index)\ub294 49\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba70 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \uc720\uc0ac\ud588\ub358 \uc2dc\uae30\ub294 2014\ub144, 2018\ub144, 2022\ub144 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c, \uacfc\uac70 \uc57d\uc138\uc7a5 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uad00\uce21\ub41c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">IMO there are 4 bitcoin bear market scenarios:<br \/>1) -80% from ATH $126k =&gt; $25k<br \/>2) down to 200w MA \/ realized price =&gt; $50k-60k<br \/>3) down to just above previous ATH =&gt; $70k<br \/>4) yesterday&#39;s $72.9k was the bottom<\/p>\n<p>I discuss these scenario&#39;s in my new video:<br \/>\ud83d\udc49   <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/mXSxJK9LLx\">https:\/\/t.co\/mXSxJK9LLx<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; PlanB (@100trillionUSD) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/100trillionUSD\/status\/2019056958481866861?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 4, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=FWfk-21lSSY&amp;t=3s\">\ud50c\ub79cB<\/a>\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc778 \uc870\uc815 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub124 \uac00\uc9c0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \uac00\uc7a5 \ube44\uad00\uc801\uc778 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \uacfc\uac70\uc758 \uae09\ub77d \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ub530\ub974\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\ub85c, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \uace0\uc810 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 80% \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmarketcap.com\/ko\/currencies\/bitcoin\/\">\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9<\/a>\uc740 2\ub9cc 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 3,670\ub9cc \uc6d0) \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub450\ubc88\uc9f8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 200\uc8fc \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\ub85c, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 5\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 7,340\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uc5d0\uc11c 6\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 8,808\ub9cc \uc6d0) \uc0ac\uc774\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc138\ubc88\uc9f8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uc804\uc81c\ub85c \ud558\uba70, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/bitcoin-price-to-65000-polymarket-odd-jumps-to-72\/\">\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \uc774\uc804 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074<\/a>\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd5c\uace0\uac00\uc600\ub358 6\ub9cc 9,000\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 131\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uc5d0\uc11c 7\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 276\ub9cc \uc6d0) \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc800\uc810\uc778 7\ub9cc 2,900\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 701\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uac00 \uc774\ubbf8 \ubc14\ub2e5\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac00\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud50c\ub79cB\ub294 \uc9c1\uc804 \uac15\uc138\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\uc804 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \uc57d\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc774\ubc88 \ud558\ub77d \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc644\ub9cc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uadf8\ub294 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 4\ub144 \uc8fc\uae30 \uc790\uccb4\ub294 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uace0\uc810\uacfc \uc800\uc810\uc758 \uc2dc\uc810\uc740 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uaca8\uc6b8 \uad6d\uba74 \uc9c4\uc785<\/h2>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \ud55c \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 \uc804\uccb4 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2dc\uac00\ucd1d\uc561\uc740 \uc57d 25% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \uc2a4\ud14c\uc774\ube14\ucf54\uc778 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc740 2\ub144 \ubc18 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc790\uae08\uc744 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc785\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uaebc\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubcf8\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uaca8\uc6b8\uc774 \ub3c4\ub798\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Stablecoin dominance has reached a 2.5-year high.<\/p>\n<p>This looks really bad. <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/AbQ8Uc73N3\">pic.twitter.com\/AbQ8Uc73N3<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Ted (@TedPillows) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TedPillows\/status\/2019106224483229936?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 4, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>\ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud2b8\ub80c\ub4dc \ub9ac\uc11c\uce58(Trend Research)\uc640 \ubd80\ud0c4(Bhutan) \uc815\ubd80\ub97c \ud3ec\ud568\ud558\uc5ec \uae30\uad00 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub358 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc758 \uc77c\ubd80\ub97c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Bhutan government is selling <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a>. <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JNwNU6Twye\">pic.twitter.com\/JNwNU6Twye<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Ted (@TedPillows) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TedPillows\/status\/2019119338729665009?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 4, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc5ec\uaca8\uc9c0\ub358 100\uc8fc \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc774\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc77c\ud0c8 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 200\uc8fc \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ub4a4\uc5d0\uc57c \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc77c\ubd80 \uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \ud3c9\uc18c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc774\ub978 \uc2dc\uc810\uc778 10\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d \uc18d\ub3c4\ub3c4 \uac00\ud30c\ub974\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\uc7a5\uc740 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc57d 12\uac1c\uc6d4\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uc5b4 \uc654\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ubc88\ucc98\ub7fc \uc804\uac1c \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ube60\ub97c \uacbd\uc6b0 6\uc6d4\uc5d0\uc11c 8\uc6d4 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \uc800\uc810\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc81c\uae30\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub354\ubcf4\uae30: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/guides\/bitcoin-price-prediction\/\">2026\ub144 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740?<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\uba74\ucc45 \uc870\ud56d: \ucf54\uc778\uc2a4\ud53c\ucee4\ub294 \uacf5\uc815\ud558\uace0 \ud22c\uba85\ud55c \ubcf4\ub3c4\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub178\ub825\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae30\uc0ac\ub294 \uc815\ud655\ud558\uace0 \uc2dc\uc758\uc801\uc808\ud55c \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\uba70, \uc7ac\uc815 \ub610\ub294 \ud22c\uc790 \uc870\uc5b8\uc73c\ub85c \uac04\uc8fc\ub418\uc5b4\uc11c\ub294 \uc548 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\ubbc0\ub85c, \uc774 \ucf58\ud150\uce20\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b4\ub5a0\ud55c \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9ac\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0 \ubc18\ub4dc\uc2dc \ubcc4\ub3c4\uc758 \uc870\uc0ac\ub97c \uc218\ud589\ud558\uc2dc\uae30 \ubc14\ub77c\uba70, \ud544\uc694 \uc2dc \uc804\ubb38\uac00\uc640 \uc0c1\ub2f4\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uc7a5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<a class=\"infinscroll_next_page_link\" style=\"display:none\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/bitcoin-etf-holders-have-diamond-hands-despite-44-btc-crash\/\" rel=\"prev\">next<\/a>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8 PlanB\ub294 \ub124 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc57d\uc138\uc7a5 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 7\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \ubc14\ub2e5\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \ubcf8\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uaca8\uc6b8\uc758 \uc804\uac1c \uc5ec\ubd80\ub97c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":229,"featured_media":11951,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,13,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11950","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news","category-crypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8 PlanB, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc57d\uc138\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c 4\uac00\uc9c0 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \uc81c\uc2dc - \ucf54\uc778\uc2a4\ud53c\ucee4 \ucf54\ub9ac\uc544<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778(BTC) \uac00\uaca9\uc740 2\uc6d4 5\uc77c 7\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 276\ub9cc \uc6d0)\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8 \ud50c\ub79cB(PlanB)\ub294 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc57d\uc138 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \uc811\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc800\uc810\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\uc77c\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/analyst-planb-presents-4-scenarios-for-the-bear-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8 PlanB, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc57d\uc138\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c 4\uac00\uc9c0 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