{"id":6000,"date":"2025-09-22T21:50:05","date_gmt":"2025-09-22T12:50:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/?p=6000"},"modified":"2025-09-22T21:50:05","modified_gmt":"2025-09-22T12:50:05","slug":"bitcoin-price-analysis-kalshi-bettors-predict-69-chance-of-125k-rally-as-blackrock-etf-absorbs-3-1b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/bitcoin-price-analysis-kalshi-bettors-predict-69-chance-of-125k-rally-as-blackrock-etf-absorbs-3-1b\/","title":{"rendered":"\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd: 12\ub9cc 5\ucc9c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\ub2a5\uc131? \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 ETF \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785 \ud655\ub300"},"content":{"rendered":"
\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778(BTC) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 9\uc6d4 20\uc77c \ud1a0\uc694\uc77c \uc57d 11\ub9cc 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 6,042\ub9cc \uc6d0) \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud558\uba70, \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc815\ucc45 \uc5ec\ud30c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\ud3ed\uc744 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud588\ub2e4. \ube14\ub799\ub85d(BlackRock)\uc758 IBIT \uc0c1\uc7a5\uc9c0\uc218\ud380\ub4dc(ETF)\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ud558\ub8e8\uc5d0\ub9cc 2\uc5b5 4,600\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 3,428\uc5b5 \uc6d0) \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc7a5\ub41c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ud604\ubb3c ETF \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc720\uc77c\ud558\uac8c \uc21c\uc720\uc785\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ube14\ub799\ub85d \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 ETF, \ucd5c\uadfc 10\uac70\ub798\uc77c 31\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785 | \ucd9c\ucc98: Farside UK<\/p><\/div><\/dt>\n<\/dl>\n<\/div>\n
\uc601\uad6d \ud30c\uc0ac\uc774\ub4dc(Farside)\uc758 \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, 9\uc6d4 5\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \ube14\ub799\ub85d\uc758 IBIT ETF<\/a>\ub294 9\uc6d4 19\uc77c \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc758 \ubcf4\ud569\uc138 \ub2e8 \ud558\ub8e8\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud558\uace0\ub294 \uc790\uae08 \uc21c\uc720\uc785\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba70, \ucd5c\uadfc 10\uac70\ub798\uc77c \ub3d9\uc548 \ucd1d 31\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 4\uc870 3,245\uc5b5 \uc6d0)\uc758 \uc21c\uc720\uc785\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ube14\ub799\ub85d\uc758 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ub07c\uce58\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n \uce7c\uc2dc \ucc38\uac00\uc790, 2025\ub144 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 12\ub9cc 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub3c4\ub2ec \ud655\ub960 69% \uc608\uc0c1 | \ucd9c\ucc98: Kalshi.com<\/p><\/div><\/dt>\n<\/dl>\n<\/div>\n \uc2e4\uc2dc\uac04 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc81c\uacf5\uc5c5\uccb4 \uce7c\uc2dc(Kalshi)<\/a>\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ucc38\uac00\uc790\uc758 69%\uac00 2025\ub144 11\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 12\ub9cc 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 7,437\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 24\uc2dc\uac04 \uc804\ubcf4\ub2e4 1% \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc624\ub978 \uc218\uce58\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac\uae4c\uc9c0 1,190\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 165\uc5b5 9,050\ub9cc \uc6d0) \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uae08\uc561\uc774 \ubab0\ub838\ub2e4.<\/p>\n \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc870\uc815 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2e0\uaddc \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ucc38\uace0\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uce7c\uc2dc\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uac00\ub97c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \uc774\uc720\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc790\uae08\uc774 \uc720\uc785\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n \uc9c0\ub09c \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 7\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc774 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\ub294 \uace8\ub4e0 \ud06c\ub85c\uc2a4 \uc9c0\uc810\uc778 11\ub9cc 4,395\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 5,958\ub9cc \uc6d0) \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uc774\ub904\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n \ud604\uc7ac \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0 \uc218\ub834\ud655\uc0b0(MACD: Moving Average Convergence Divergence) \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. MACD\uc120\uc740 915\ub85c \uc2dc\uadf8\ub110\uc120\uc778 492\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud788\uc2a4\ud1a0\uadf8\ub7a8 \ub9c9\ub300 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc591\uc758 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778(BTC) 2025\ub144 9\uc6d4 20\uc77c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uac00\uaca9 \ubd84\uc11d | \ucd9c\ucc98: \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\ubdf0<\/p><\/div><\/dt>\n<\/dl>\n<\/div>\n \uace8\ub4e0 \ud06c\ub85c\uc2a4 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc57d\uc138\ub860\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc6b0\uc704\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 11\ub9cc 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 5,903\ub9cc \uc6d0) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c8\uac10\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9<\/a>\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 7\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc774 \uc704\uce58\ud55c 11\ub9cc 6,000\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 6,174\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc800\ud56d\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 12\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 6,740\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \ubaa9\ud45c\uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4. ETF \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc774 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c 12\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 6,740\ub9cc \uc6d0)\ub97c \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 12\ub9cc 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 7,437\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uce7c\uc2dc \ucc38\uac00\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc\ub3c4 \uc77c\uce58\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n \uc885\ud569\uc801\uc73c\ub85c ETF \uc218\uc694\uc640 BTC\/USD 24\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c \ud655\uc778\ub418\ub294 \uace8\ub4e0 \ud06c\ub85c\uc2a4 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub0b4 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uac00\ub97c \uac31\uc2e0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n \ub610\ud55c, \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc ETF\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ucd08\uae30 \ub2e8\uacc4 \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\uc778 \ubca0\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc6d4\ub81b \ud1a0\ud070(BEST)<\/a>\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\uac10\ub3c4 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubca0\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc6d4\ub81b\uc740 \uba40\ud2f0\uccb4\uc778 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc9c0\uac11\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uad00 \uae30\ub2a5\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uac8c\ub2e4\uac00 \uae30\uad00 \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \ubcf4\uc548\uc131\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uc5ec \ub300\ud615 \ucf54\uc778 \uc774\uc678\uc758 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0\ub85c \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \ub2e4\uac01\ud654\ud558\ub824\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n \ubca0\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc6d4\ub81b \ud1a0\ud070 \uc0ac\uc804 \ud310\ub9e4<\/p><\/div>\n \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 11\ub9cc 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 6,042\ub9cc \uc6d0) \uc774\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 ETF \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc774 \uac15\uc138 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc640\uc911\uc5d0 \ubca0\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc6d4\ub81b \ud1a0\ud070\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc2e0\uaddc \ud504\ub9ac\uc138\uc77c \ucf54\uc778\uc740 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \ucc3e\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc744 \ub04c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n
\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9, 12\ub9cc 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub3cc\ud30c \uc2dc\uc810\uc740 \uc5b8\uc81c\uc77c\uae4c?<\/h2>\n
\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \uc804\ub9dd: 11\ub9cc 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uace8\ub4e0 \ud06c\ub85c\uc2a4 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc2dc 12\ub9cc 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub3cc\ud30c \uac00\ub2a5<\/h2>\n
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\ubca0\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc6d4\ub81b \ud1a0\ud070 \uc0ac\uc804 \ud310\ub9e4, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 ETF \uac15\uc138 \uc18d \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uac15\ud654<\/h2>\n
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