{"id":7917,"date":"2025-10-24T19:14:07","date_gmt":"2025-10-24T10:14:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/?p=7917"},"modified":"2025-10-24T19:14:07","modified_gmt":"2025-10-24T10:14:07","slug":"peter-brandt-bitcoin-250k-volatility-warning","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/peter-brandt-bitcoin-250k-volatility-warning\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud53c\ud130 \ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8 &#8211; \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778, \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d\ub3c4 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c\u2026 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 25\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778(BTC)\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \ud53c\ud130 \ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8(Peter Brandt)\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 25\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 3\uc5b5 6,028\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uadf8\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uc544\ub2cc \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \uadfc\uac70\ud55c \uac83\uc784\uc744 \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud765\ubbf8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc810\uc740, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ub420 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 25\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624<\/h2>\n<p>10\uc6d4 22\uc77c, \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \ud53c\ud130 \ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8(Peter Brandt)\ub294 X\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc790\uc2e0\uc744 \u2018\ud655\ub960 \uc774\ub860\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac31\uc2e0\ud558\uba70 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \ubca0\uc774\uc9c0\uc548(Bayesian)\u2019\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc18c\uac1c\ud558\uba70, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \uc804\ub9dd \uc5ed\uc2dc \ud655\ub960\uc774\ub098 \ud655\uc2e4\uc131\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc758 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc811\uadfc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">I am a Bayesian<br \/>I deal in possibilities, not probabilities and certainly not certainties<br \/>At any given time I have binary TA and macro narratives playing in my head &#8211; $250k Bitcoin or $60k Bitcoin<br \/>I consider all possibilities and look for asymmetrical bets in either direction<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PeterLBrandt\/status\/1980791919295734104?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 22, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\uadf8\ub294 \uc790\uc2e0\uc774 \uad6c\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud560 \ub54c, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 25\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 3\uc5b5 6,027\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmarketcap.com\/ko\/currencies\/bitcoin\/\">\ucf54\uc778\ub9c8\ucf13\ucea1(CoinMarketCap) \ub370\uc774\ud130<\/a>\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ud604\uc7ac \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 109,508.93\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 5,781\ub9cc \uc6d0)\ub85c, 24\uc2dc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 1.58% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774\ub294 \ud53c\ud130 \ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8\uac00 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c 25\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 3\uc5b5 6,027\ub9cc \uc6d0) \ubaa9\ud45c\uac00\uc640\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud070 \uaca9\ucc28\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8\uc758 \uc774\ubc88 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c 4\uc6d4 \uce74\ub974\ub2e4\ub178(Cardano) \ucc3d\ub9bd\uc790 <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/kr.benzinga.com\/crypto\/bitcoin\/%EC%B9%B4%EB%A5%B4%EB%8B%A4%EB%85%B8-%EC%B0%BD%EB%A6%BD%EC%9E%90-%EC%98%AC%ED%95%B4-%EB%B9%84%ED%8A%B8%EC%BD%94%EC%9D%B8-%EA%B0%80%EA%B2%A9-25%EB%A7%8C-%EB%8B%AC%EB%9F%AC-%EB%8F%84%EB%8B%AC%EC%9D%84\/\">\ucc30\uc2a4 \ud638\uc2a4\ud0a8\uc2a8(Charles Hoskinson)\uc774 \ub0b4\ub193\uc740 \uc608\uce21<\/a>\uacfc\ub3c4 \ub9e5\uc744 \uac19\uc774 \ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \ud638\uc2a4\ud0a8\uc2a8\uc740 \uc560\ud50c(Apple)\uacfc \ub9c8\uc774\ud06c\ub85c\uc18c\ud504\ud2b8(Microsoft) \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \uae30\uc220 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc2ec\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uba70, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uac00\ub97c \uacbd\uc2e0\ud558\ub294 \ucd09\ub9e4\uc81c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \uc804\ub9dd, \ubc18\uc804\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc874\uc7ac<\/h2>\n<p>\ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8\ub294 \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \ud568\uaed8, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ubc30\uc81c\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uadf8\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 6\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 8,647\ub9cc \uc6d0) \uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uc544\ub2cc \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uacfc \uc704\ud5d8 \ub300\ube44 \ubcf4\uc0c1 \ube44\uc728\uc774 \ub2e4\ub978 \ube44\ub300\uce6d\uc801 \ud22c\uc790 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc811\uadfc\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uadf8\uc758 \uacfc\uac70 \ubc1c\uc5b8\ub4e4\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc790\uc784\uc744 \uc54c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8\ub294 X\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \ub9c8\ucf13 \uc2a4\ub098\uc774\ud37c(The Market Sniper)\uac00 \u201c\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d\ud615 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud55c \uac8c\uc2dc\uae00\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc751\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uadf8\ub294 &#8220;\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774\ub4e0 \ud558\ub77d\uc774\ub4e0 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc900\ube44\uac00 \ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4\u201d\uba70 \uc720\uc5f0\ud55c \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">I&#39;ll be first to admit you could be right. I am willing to go with it in either direction. If BTC goes up I want to be long, if it goes down I want to be short <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4jie40ZqX4\">https:\/\/t.co\/4jie40ZqX4<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PeterLBrandt\/status\/1980805387558289605?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 22, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>\uadf8\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\ub9e4\uc218 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158)\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\uace0, \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uae09\ub77d\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0\ub294 \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158) \uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud560 \uc900\ube44\uac00 \ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub354\ubcf4\uae30: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/guides\/bitcoin-price-prediction\/\">\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd: 2025~2030\ub144 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc608\uce21, ETF\u00b7\uae30\uad00\ud22c\uc790 \uc601\ud5a5 \ubd84\uc11d<\/a><\/p>\n<a class=\"infinscroll_next_page_link\" style=\"display:none\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/crypto-news-10-24-bitcoin-regains-111k-ahead-of-fed-cpi-announcement\/\" rel=\"prev\">next<\/a>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \ud53c\ud130 \ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8(Peter Brandt)\ub294 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 25\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 3\uc5b5 6,028\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":229,"featured_media":7919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7917","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-crypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\ud53c\ud130 \ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8 - \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778, \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d\ub3c4 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c\u2026 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 25\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec - \ucf54\uc778\uc2a4\ud53c\ucee4 \ucf54\ub9ac\uc544<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \ud53c\ud130 \ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8(Peter Brandt)\ub294 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 25\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 3\uc5b5 6,028\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/peter-brandt-bitcoin-250k-volatility-warning\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\ud53c\ud130 \ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8 - \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778, \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d\ub3c4 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c\u2026 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 25\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec - \ucf54\uc778\uc2a4\ud53c\ucee4 \ucf54\ub9ac\uc544\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \ud53c\ud130 \ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8(Peter Brandt)\ub294 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c 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\uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/peter-brandt-bitcoin-250k-volatility-warning\/","og_locale":"ko_KR","og_type":"article","og_title":"\ud53c\ud130 \ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8 - \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778, \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d\ub3c4 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c\u2026 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 25\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec - \ucf54\uc778\uc2a4\ud53c\ucee4 \ucf54\ub9ac\uc544","og_description":"\uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \ud53c\ud130 \ube0c\ub79c\ud2b8(Peter Brandt)\ub294 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 25\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 3\uc5b5 6,028\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 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