{"id":8774,"date":"2025-11-10T21:56:55","date_gmt":"2025-11-10T12:56:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/?p=8774"},"modified":"2025-11-10T21:56:55","modified_gmt":"2025-11-10T12:56:55","slug":"bitcoin-4-year-cycle-is-dead-heres-why-bull-run-is-not-over","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/bitcoin-4-year-cycle-is-dead-heres-why-bull-run-is-not-over\/","title":{"rendered":"\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 4\ub144 \uc8fc\uae30 \uc774\ub860\uc740 \ubb34\ub108\uc84c\ub2e4, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc7a5\uc740 \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc778 \uc0e4\ub098\uce74 \uc548\uc2ac\ub818 \ud398\ub808\ub77c(Shanaka Anslem Perera)\ub294 X\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \uae30\uc874\uc758 \ubc18\uac10\uae30 \uc8fc\uae30\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud55c \u20184\ub144 \uc8fc\uae30\u2019 \ud328\ud134\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub0ac\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uacfc\uac70\ucc98\ub7fc \ubc18\uac10\uae30(halving)\ub97c \uae30\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uae30\uc874\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac8c \ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \ud398\ub808\ub77c\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc7a5\uc774 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ub05d\ub09c \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778, 4\ub144 \uc8fc\uae30 \uc774\ud0c8<\/h2>\n<p>\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/guides\/best-crypto-to-buy\/\">\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984<\/a>\uc740 \ube14\ub85d \ubcf4\uc0c1\uc774 \uc808\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 &#8216;\ubc18\uac10\uae30&#8217; \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc8fc\ub85c \uc8fc\ub3c4\ub418\uc5b4 \uc628 4\ub144 \uc8fc\uae30\ub97c \ub530\ub77c\uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uc8fc\uae30 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub9e4\ubc88 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc7a5\uc744 \uacbd\ud5d8\ud55c \ub4a4 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uacaa\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud604\uc7ac\uc5d0 \uc774\ub974\ub7ec \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 \ud328\ud134\uc774 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac8c \ub41c \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>2025\ub144 10\uc6d4 6\uc77c, \ud06c\ub9bd\ud1a0 \ud2b8\uc704\ud130(Crypto Twitter) \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ud2f0\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074 \uc815\uc810\uc744 12\ub9cc 6,270\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 8,405\ub9cc \uc6d0)\ub85c \uc120\uc5b8\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc57d 21% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"474\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BITCOIN\u2019S 4-YEAR CYCLE JUST DIED AND NOBODY NOTICED<\/p>\n<p>Crypto Twitter exploded calling October 6th the cycle peak. Eighty-four percent crashes incoming. Bear market confirmed. Pack it up.<\/p>\n<p>Except the math says they are catastrophically wrong.<\/p>\n<p>Every indicator that called previous\u2026 <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/b6sj1kGn5e\">pic.twitter.com\/b6sj1kGn5e<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Shanaka Anslem Perera \u26a1 (@shanaka86) <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/shanaka86\/status\/1987074571468763565?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 8, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc778\ud50c\ub8e8\uc5b8\uc11c\uc640 \uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub4e4\uc740 \uacfc\uac70\uc758 \ud328\ud134\uc744 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \ucd5c\ub300 84% \ud3ed\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc57d\uc138\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc608\uce21\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud398\ub808\ub77c(Perera)\ub294 \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub294 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc774\uc57c\uae30\uac00 \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uadf8\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc7a5\uc774 \uc544\uc9c1 \ub05d\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud558\uba70, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud76c\ub9dd\uc774 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ubcf4\ud1b5 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc791\uc744 \uc54c\ub9ac\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\uc778 Pi \uc0ac\uc774\ud074(\uac00\uaca9 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0 \uae30\ubc18 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074 \uc9c0\ud45c), MVRV Z-\uc2a4\ucf54\uc5b4(\uc2dc\uc7a5\uac00 \ub300\ube44 \uc2e4\ud604\uac00 \ube44\uc728), \ud4e8\uc5d8 \uba40\ud2f0\ud50c(Puell Multiple, \ucc44\uad74 \uc218\uc775\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ub4f1\uc774 \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub294 \uc774\ub840\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc7a0\uc7a0\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub4e4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ud604\uc7ac \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc7a5\uc758 \uc885\ucc29\uc810\uc774 \uc544\ub2cc \uc911\uac04 \uc870\uc815 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\uae30\uad00\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 ETF \uc218\uc694, &#8216;4\ub144 \uc8fc\uae30&#8217; \uc774\ub860\uc744 \ubb34\ub108\ub728\ub9ac\ub2e4<\/h2>\n<p>\ud398\ub808\ub77c\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc0c1\uc7a5\uc9c0\uc218\ud380\ub4dc(ETF)\uac00 \uae30\uc874\uc758 4\ub144 \uc8fc\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubc14\uafb8\ub294 \ub370 \ud575\uc2ec\uc801\uc778 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud588\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ube14\ub799\ub85d(BlackRock), \ud53c\ub378\ub9ac\ud2f0(Fidelity), \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc8fc\uc694 \uae30\uc5c5 \ud2b8\ub808\uc800\ub9ac\uac00 \uace0\ub798 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc744 \ud761\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc9c4\uacf5 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud558\uba74\uc11c, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 ETF\ub85c \uc720\uc785\ub41c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \ubb34\ub824 640\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 93\uc870 2,864\uc5b5 \uc6d0)\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uad00\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc9c4\uc785\uc740 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801\uc778 \ub4f1\ub77d\uc744 \uc5b4\ub290 \uc815\ub3c4 \uc644\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucf54\uc778\uc2a4\ud53c\ucee4(Coinspeaker)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, 11\uc6d4 4\uc77c \uae30\uc900 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 ETF\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ube14\ub799\ub85d(BlackRock)\uc758 IBIT\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c 1\uc5b5 8,650\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 2,716\uc5b5 9,320\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uc758 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/bitcoin-price-falls-below-100k-liquidations-hit-1-3-billion\/\">\uc790\uae08\uc774 \uc720\ucd9c\ub410\ub2e4<\/a>. \uc774\ud6c4 11\uc6d4 7\uc77c\uae4c\uc9c0 6\uc77c\uac04 \uc5f0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \ube60\uc838\ub098\uac00\uba70, \ub204\uc801 \uc720\ucd9c \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 \ucd1d 6\uc5b5 6,000\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 9,614\uc5b5 8,800\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc9c0\ub09c 24\uc2dc\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc57d 2\uc5b5 4,000\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 3,496\uc5b5 3,200\ub9cc \uc6d0)\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc ETF\ub85c \uc720\uc785\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud750\ub984 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/coinmarketcap.com\/ko\/currencies\/bitcoin\/\">\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9<\/a>\uc740 4% \ubc18\ub4f1\ud574 11\uc6d4 10\uc77c \ud604\uc7ac 10\ub9cc 6,210 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc5b5 5,471\ub9cc \uc6d0) \uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\uc81c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc544\ub2cc \uc815\uc0b0 \ubc0f \uc790\uae08 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uacb0\ub860\uc9c0\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<a class=\"infinscroll_next_page_link\" style=\"display:none\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/strategy-gearing-up-to-buy-bitcoin-while-og-whale-keeps-selling\/\" rel=\"prev\">next<\/a>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ubc18\uac10\uae30(halving) \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud615\uc131\ub3fc \uc628 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 4\ub144 \uc8fc\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":229,"featured_media":8775,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,13,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8774","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news","category-crypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 4\ub144 \uc8fc\uae30 \uc774\ub860\uc740 \ubb34\ub108\uc84c\ub2e4, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc7a5\uc740 \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911 - \ucf54\uc778\uc2a4\ud53c\ucee4 \ucf54\ub9ac\uc544<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ubc18\uac10\uae30(halving) \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud615\uc131\ub3fc \uc628 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 4\ub144 \uc8fc\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/bitcoin-4-year-cycle-is-dead-heres-why-bull-run-is-not-over\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 4\ub144 \uc8fc\uae30 \uc774\ub860\uc740 \ubb34\ub108\uc84c\ub2e4, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc7a5\uc740 \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911 - \ucf54\uc778\uc2a4\ud53c\ucee4 \ucf54\ub9ac\uc544\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ubc18\uac10\uae30(halving) \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud615\uc131\ub3fc \uc628 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 4\ub144 \uc8fc\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c 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\uc788\ub2e4.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/kr\/bitcoin-4-year-cycle-is-dead-heres-why-bull-run-is-not-over\/","og_locale":"ko_KR","og_type":"article","og_title":"\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 4\ub144 \uc8fc\uae30 \uc774\ub860\uc740 \ubb34\ub108\uc84c\ub2e4, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc7a5\uc740 \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911 - \ucf54\uc778\uc2a4\ud53c\ucee4 \ucf54\ub9ac\uc544","og_description":"\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ubc18\uac10\uae30(halving) \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud615\uc131\ub3fc \uc628 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 4\ub144 \uc8fc\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 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