{"id":4388,"date":"2025-11-05T08:09:09","date_gmt":"2025-11-05T08:09:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/tr\/?p=4388"},"modified":"2025-11-05T08:09:09","modified_gmt":"2025-11-05T08:09:09","slug":"bitcoin-etf-cikislari-ve-uzun-vadeli-yatirimci-satislari-piyasayi-baski-altina-aliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.coinspeaker.com\/tr\/bitcoin-etf-cikislari-ve-uzun-vadeli-yatirimci-satislari-piyasayi-baski-altina-aliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Wall Street Sat\u0131\u015f Dalgas\u0131n\u0131 S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor \u2014 Bitcoin Ne Kadar Daha D\u00fc\u015fecek"},"content":{"rendered":"

Kas\u0131m ay\u0131n\u0131n ilk haftas\u0131nda kripto alan\u0131nda duyarl\u0131l\u0131k olduk\u00e7a zay\u0131ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin, \u201c10.11\u201d \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn alt\u0131na inerek yeni bir dip seviyeye geriledi, 100.000 dolar seviyesini koruyamad\u0131. Ve hatta 99.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ferek alt\u0131 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini kaydetti. Ethereum<\/a> ise 3.000 dolar seviyesine kadar geriledi.<\/p>\n

A\u011f genelinde 24 saat i\u00e7inde tasfiye edilen toplam tutar 2 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131. Bu y\u00fczden long pozisyonlarda 1,63 milyar dolar tasfiye edildi. Short pozisyonlarda ise 400 milyon dolar tasfiye edildi.<\/p>\n

\"Veri

Veri kayna\u011f\u0131: CoinGlass<\/p><\/div>\n

HTX borsas\u0131nda 47,87 milyon dolar tutar\u0131nda tasfiye edilen bir BTC-USDT long pozisyonuydu. Ve bu i\u015flem a\u011f genelindeki tasfiye listesinde en \u00fcst s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Sekt\u00f6r \u0130\u00e7inde<\/h2>\n

Arka arkaya iki g\u00fcn boyunca projeler sorun ya\u015fad\u0131. 3 Kas\u0131m\u2019da, uzun s\u00fcredir faaliyet g\u00f6steren ve tan\u0131nm\u0131\u015f bir DeFi projesi olan Balancer a\u00e7\u0131klanma yapt\u0131. Bir kod hatas\u0131 nedeniyle 116 milyon dolar de\u011ferinde hacklendi. Ama Balancer, Uniswap\u2019tan bile daha eski bir DeFi altyap\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011fundan, b\u00f6yle bir kod sorunu sekt\u00f6r i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir darbe oldu.<\/p>\n

4 Kas\u0131m\u2019da, Stream Finance adl\u0131 bir varl\u0131k y\u00f6netim platformu \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fc ve resmi a\u00e7\u0131klamaya g\u00f6re 93 milyon dolar kay\u0131p ya\u015fand\u0131. Sorun \u015fu ki, kayb\u0131n nas\u0131l meydana geldi\u011fi belirsiz ve resmi ekip herhangi bir a\u00e7\u0131klama yapmad\u0131. Topluluk, bunun \u201c10.11\u201d \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc g\u00fcn\u00fcnde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini tahmin ediyor.<\/p>\n

Kripto<\/a> alan\u0131nda yaln\u0131zca belirli miktarda para var ve son iki g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 200 milyon dolar daha ortadan kayboldu.<\/p>\n

Makro Perspektiften<\/h2>\n

K\u00fcresel sermaye piyasalar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 4 Kas\u0131m\u2019da d\u00fcnya genelinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler ya\u015fand\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc yeni zirvelere ula\u015fan Japonya ve Kore borsalar\u0131 da geriledi. Ve ABD hisseleri \u00f6n piyasa i\u015flemlerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klama yapt\u0131. Ve aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeniden azald\u0131. Bu da faiz indirimi i\u00e7in acele edilmedi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

Ard\u0131ndan ETF\u2019lerde de net \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta ABD\u2019de i\u015flem g\u00f6ren Bitcoin ETF\u2019lerinde<\/a> 802 milyon dolarl\u0131k net \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Ve 3 Kas\u0131m Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc 180 milyon dolar daha \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

5 Kas\u0131m\u2019da ba\u015fka bir geli\u015fme ya\u015fand\u0131. ABD Y\u00fcksek Mahkemesi \u201cg\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi davas\u0131\u201d kapsam\u0131nda s\u00f6zl\u00fc duru\u015fma yapacak. Ve Trump\u2019\u0131n<\/a> k\u00fcresel tarifelerinin yasall\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irecek. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc nihai karar Trump aleyhine olursa tarifelerin iptal edilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 bulunuyor. Bu da yeni politika d\u00fczenlemelerine yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n

ABD federal h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin \u201ckapanmas\u0131\u201d 35. g\u00fcn\u00fcne girdi. Ve bu durum ABD tarihindeki en uzun kapanma ile e\u015fitlendi. H\u00fck\u00fcmetin kapanmas\u0131 kurumlar\u0131 y\u00fcksek riskli varl\u0131klarda pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 korumaya y\u00f6neltti. Ama bu durum sat\u0131\u015f dalgalar\u0131n\u0131 tetikledi. Bu y\u00fczden, son d\u00f6nemdeki keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn temel nedenlerinden biri olabilir.<\/p>\n

Wallstreetcn\u2019in \u00f6nceki bir makalesi bir analiz sundu. Analize g\u00f6re h\u00fck\u00fcmetin kapanmas\u0131 hazineyi ad\u0131m atmaya zorlad\u0131. Son \u00fc\u00e7 ayda genel hesap bakiyesi 30 milyar dolardan 100 milyar dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu, son be\u015f y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi oldu. Piyasadan 70 milyar dolardan fazla nakit \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n

Bu b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli likidite \u00e7ekilmesi, birka\u00e7 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131labilecek bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma etkisi yaratt\u0131. Temel finansman oran\u0131 g\u00f6stergeleri genel olarak bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Bloomberg\u2019e g\u00f6re, Teminatl\u0131 Gecelik Finansman Oran\u0131 31 Ekim\u2019de 22 baz puan artt\u0131. Ve Fed\u2019in<\/a> hedef aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu da piyasalardaki fiili finansman maliyetlerinin Fed\u2019in faiz indirimleriyle birlikte d\u00fc\u015fmedi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bu y\u00fczden Fed\u2019in S\u00fcrekli Repo Kolayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n da tarihi zirvelere yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi.<\/p>\n

Spot ETF\u2019ler Kan Kaybetmeye Devam Ediyor<\/h2>\n

ETF \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 asl\u0131nda tahmin edilenden daha ciddi bir seviyeye ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

29 Ekim\u2019den 3 Kas\u0131m\u2019a kadar IBIT\u2019te b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar ya\u015fand\u0131. Bu ETF, BlackRock\u2019a ait ve k\u00fcresel Bitcoin<\/a> spot ETF\u2019leri aras\u0131nda y\u00fczde 45 pazar pay\u0131na sahip. IBIT d\u00f6rt i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde toplam 715 milyon dolarl\u0131k net \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f kaydetti. Ama bu miktar, ABD Bitcoin ETF piyasas\u0131ndaki toplam 1,34 milyar dolarl\u0131k \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturdu.<\/p>\n

Haftal\u0131k bazda bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 28 Ekim\u2019den 3 Kas\u0131m\u2019a kadar IBIT, 403 milyon dolarl\u0131k net \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f kaydetti. Ve bu, piyasan\u0131n 799 milyon dolarl\u0131k toplam \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 50,4\u2019\u00fcne denk geldi. Sadece 31 Ekim\u2019de 149 milyon dolarl\u0131k tek g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Ve bu, sekt\u00f6rde \u015fimdiye kadarki en y\u00fcksek tek g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f rekorunu olu\u015fturdu.<\/p>\n

BTC’de Son Durumlar<\/h2>\n

4 Kas\u0131m\u2019da BlackRock\u2019un Coinbase Prime saklama adresi de zincir \u00fczerinde 2.043 BTC ve 22.681 ETH tutar\u0131nda ayarlama yapt\u0131. Ve bu durum, ETF sahiplerinin kripto varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 satmaya devam etti\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde piyasa spek\u00fclasyonlar\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n

IBIT\u2019in y\u00f6netimi alt\u0131ndaki varl\u0131klar h\u00e2l\u00e2 9,5 milyar ile 10 milyar dolar aras\u0131nda seyrediyor. Ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 800.000 Bitcoin<\/a> tutuyor. Ancak d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yakla\u015f\u0131k 5.800 BTC\u2019ye denk geliyor. Ve bu da toplam varl\u0131klar\u0131n y\u00fczde 0,7\u2019sini olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n

Oran b\u00fcy\u00fck olmasa da sekt\u00f6r lideri olarak IBIT\u2019in yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6rnek etkisi \u00f6nemli bir rol oynuyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck Bitcoin spot ETF\u2019lerine de bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tablo dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. \u0130lk be\u015f s\u0131rada BlackRock\u2019un IBIT\u2019si bulunuyor. Fidelity\u2019nin FBTC\u2019si ve Grayscale\u2019in<\/a> GBTC\u2019si onu takip ediyor. Bitwise\u2019\u0131n BITB\u2019si ve 21Shares<\/a> ile ortak geli\u015ftirilen ARK\u2019\u0131n ARKB\u2019si de listede yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde Fidelity\u2019nin FBTC\u2019si 180 milyon dolarl\u0131k net \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f kaydetti. Ve bu, b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn y\u00fczde 0,7\u2019sine denk geldi. Bu oran nispeten \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 kald\u0131. Grayscale\u2019in GBTC\u2019si ise \u00fccret indiriminin ard\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatt\u0131. Ve bu hafta 97 milyon dolarl\u0131k \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ETF\u2019ler olan BITB ve ARKB ise haftal\u0131k yakla\u015f\u0131k 50 milyon dolarl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fim g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

Bu geri \u00e7ekilme dalgas\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n risk i\u015ftah\u0131ndaki keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kaynaklan\u0131yor. Ve makro d\u00fczeydeki y\u00fcksek faiz oran\u0131 beklentileri ile Bitcoin\u2019in teknik k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131yla e\u015f zamanl\u0131 olarak ilerliyor.<\/p>\n

KE\u015eFED\u0130N: <\/strong>Bitcoin Fiyat Tahmini: Gelecek Trendler ve Piyasa Analizi<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Uzun Vadeli Zincir \u00dcst\u00fc Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar da Yo\u011fun \u015eekilde Nakit \u00c7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 Yap\u0131yor<\/h2>\n

ETF\u2019lerden bile daha agresif davrananlar zincir \u00fczerindeki eski yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lard\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Son 30 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar sat\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. 155 g\u00fcnden uzun s\u00fcredir coin tutan bu c\u00fczdan adresleri toplamda yakla\u015f\u0131k 405.000 BTC satt\u0131. Ve bu miktar dola\u015f\u0131mdaki arz\u0131n y\u00fczde 2\u2019sine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geldi. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00f6nem boyunca ortalama 105.000 dolar fiyatla bu yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 42 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde nakit \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin\"<\/p>\n

Bu y\u00fczden grup h\u00e2l\u00e2 yakla\u015f\u0131k 14,4 ila 14,6 milyon BTC<\/a> tutuyor, bu da dola\u015f\u0131mdaki arz\u0131n y\u00fczde 74\u2019\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geliyor. Ve piyasadaki en b\u00fcy\u00fck tedarik\u00e7i konumunu koruyor. Sorun \u015fu ki, sat\u0131\u015f h\u0131zlar\u0131 fiyat trendiyle tamamen \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Ve Bitcoin 6 Ekim\u2019de 126.000 dolar ile rekor seviyeye ula\u015ft\u0131ktan sonra k\u00e2r realizasyonu belirgin \u015fekilde h\u0131z kazand\u0131. \u201c10.11\u201d ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc g\u00fcn\u00fcnde tek bir g\u00fcnde 52.000 BTC \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Ekim sonu ile kas\u0131m ba\u015f\u0131 aras\u0131nda ise, d\u00f6rt g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste ETF net \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131yla birlikte g\u00fcnl\u00fck sat\u0131\u015flar 18.000 BTC\u2019yi a\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Zincir \u00fcst\u00fc veriler<\/a>, ana sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n 10 ila 1.000 BTC tutan \u201corta ku\u015fak\u201d c\u00fczdanlar oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu y\u00fczden c\u00fczdanlar 6 ay ila 1 y\u0131l \u00f6nce al\u0131m yapt\u0131 ve \u015fu anda yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 150 k\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde kazanca sahip. Ama 1.000 BTC\u2019den fazla tutan \u201cbalinalar<\/a>\u201d ise asl\u0131nda hafif art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6steriyor. Ve bu durum b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklemedi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Sat\u0131\u015f yapanlar\u0131n esas olarak orta \u00f6l\u00e7ekli k\u00e2r realizasyonu yapanlar oldu\u011funu ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte, Mart 2024\u2019te uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar bir ay i\u00e7inde y\u00fczde 5,05 sat\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Bitcoin y\u00fczde 16 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5,2 sat\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti ve fiyat y\u00fczde 21 geriledi. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu kez ekim ay\u0131ndaki sat\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 2,2 oldu ve fiyat yaln\u0131zca y\u00fczde 4 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, bu da asl\u0131nda daha hafif bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak hem ETF\u2019ler hem de zincir \u00fcst\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ayn\u0131 anda sat\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Birle\u015fen bu bask\u0131 piyasan\u0131n dayanamayaca\u011f\u0131 kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hale geliyor.<\/p>\n

D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn Dip Noktas\u0131n\u0131n De\u011ferlendirilmesi<\/h2>\n

Glassnode bir piyasa de\u011ferlendirmesi yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Piyasan\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli maliyet taban\u0131 \u00fczerinde tutunmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu seviyenin, bo\u011falarla ay\u0131lar aras\u0131ndaki kilit m\u00fccadele alan\u0131 oldu\u011fu ifade edildi. Bu seviye yeniden kazan\u0131lamazsa, fiyat\u0131n aktif yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in ger\u00e7ek maliyet seviyesine kadar gerilemesi olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

CryptoQuant CEO\u2019su Ki Young Ju d\u00fcn gece zincir \u00fcst\u00fc veriler payla\u015ft\u0131. Bu verilere g\u00f6re Bitcoin c\u00fczdanlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalama maliyeti 55.900 dolar.
\nYat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar<\/a> ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 93 k\u00e2rda bulunuyor. Ama zincir \u00fcst\u00fc sermaye giri\u015fleri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmaya devam ediyor. Fiyat\u0131n y\u00fckselmemesinin nedeni zay\u0131f talep olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Ve 10x Research<\/a> CEO\u2019su Markus Thielen, piyasa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klama yapt\u0131. Bitcoin\u2019in 10 Ekim \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden bu yana uzanan destek \u00e7izgisine yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. E\u011fer fiyat 107.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na inerse, 100.000 dolar\u0131 test etmesi olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7inli kripto yorumcusu Banmuxia bug\u00fcn yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u201cGeleneksel 4 y\u0131ll\u0131k bo\u011fa d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc sona erdi. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Bitcoin kademeli olarak 84.000 dolara d\u00fc\u015fecek, ard\u0131ndan birka\u00e7 ay s\u00fcren karma\u015f\u0131k bir konsolidasyon d\u00f6nemi ya\u015fayacak. Ve gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n sonu ya da bir sonraki y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda ABD hisse senedi balonunu takip ederek 240.000 dolara y\u00fckselecek.\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Tarihsel olarak Bitcoin\u2019in kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda ortalama olarak kazan\u00e7 g\u00f6stermesi tek olumlu haber olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Hemen Ziyaret\u00a0Edin<\/a>\nnext<\/a>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcm a\u011f genelindeki tasfiyeler 2 milyar dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. BTC 100.000 dolar seviyesini koruyamad\u0131. Ve alt\u0131 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":358,"featured_media":4392,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4388","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","category-news","hashtags-bitcoin"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nWall Street Sat\u0131\u015f Dalgas\u0131n\u0131 S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor \u2014 Bitcoin Ne Kadar Daha D\u00fc\u015fecek - Coinspeaker Turkey<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin son haftalarda sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fad\u0131. 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