$3.38 Billion in Bitcoin Options Expiry Raises Concerns of September Volatility

Updated 9 hours ago by · 2 mins read

Implied volatility across Bitcoin maturities has rebounded to around 40% following a month-long correction that drove BTC price more than 10% below its all-time high. 

With $3.38 billion of Bitcoin BTC $111 421 24h volatility: 1.1% Market cap: $2.22 T Vol. 24h: $56.37 B options expiry on Sept. 5, BTC price is showing some strength with 1.77% upside. Now it has increased to $112,500 levels. Analysts are expecting September to be a month of subdued volatility and weaker performance, according to the historical trends.

BTC Price Jumps amid $3.38 Billion in Bitcoin Options Expiry

Bitcoin (BTC) leads this cycle of expiring options, with a notional value of $3.38 billion. Data from Deribit shows total open interest at 30,447 contracts.

The max pain level, where the most options are likely to expire worthless, sits at $112,000. Meanwhile, the put-call ratio is 1.41, indicating a bearish tilt and a cautious market sentiment.

$3.38 billion in Bitcoin options expire on Sept. 5| Source: Deribit

Amid this options expiry, implied volatility (IV) across Bitcoin maturities has rebounded to around 40% following a month-long correction that drove BTC price more than 10% below its all-time high. 

Analysts note that traders remain cautious, as shown by a surge in block trading of put options, which make up nearly 30% of today’s total options volume.

Bitcoin price has gained 1.7% in the last 24 hours, soaring past $112,500 levels as of press time. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital said Bitcoin has now fully confirmed its breakout. He noted that a daily close or successful retest of the ~$113,000 level would further validate the move and support continued upside momentum.

September Uncertainty Remains on Radar

Market sentiment is turning cautious, with Greeks.live noting that September has historically been a weak month for cryptocurrencies. Institutional rollovers and quarterly settlements often weigh on capital inflows, they said.

“The options market, in general, lacks confidence in September’s performance,” the analysts observed. With the broader downtrend and crypto equity correction, investors and traders prefer to stay risk-averse at this stage.

On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant reported that Bitcoin’s Value Days Destroyed (VDD) metric indicates easing selling pressure from long-term holders. The firm noted that if this trend continues, it could provide relief to the market and open the door for a renewed upward move. However, this needs to be backed by a strong demand surge.

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