Analysts suggest Bitcoin’s current consolidation phase could be beneficial for the bull run.
Bitcoin‘s recent price movements have left some investors scratching their heads. After hitting new highs in March 2024, Bitcoin has been stuck between $60,000 and $70,000 for three months, raising concerns about a possible price drop. Some analysts noted a “disappointing fake-out” last week.
However, not everyone is viewing Bitcoin’s struggle to break above $70,000 as negative. A recent analysis on The Sniper Trading Show by Crypto Banter suggests that this extended consolidation could be good for the current bull run.
Bitcoin’s Current Consolidation Phase
According to TradingView, Bitcoin is currently trading at $$66,996, marking a slight 0.39% increase in the last 24 hours. A breakout would be a positive sign, but analysts warn that it’s important for Bitcoin to hold onto recent lows in the meantime. This will allow Bitcoin to build momentum for a potential surge back towards its all-time high of $73,750 on March 14, 2024.
Photo: TradingView
Interestingly, some analysts believe Bitcoin’s current behavior aligns with historical trends. Rekt Capital, a popular crypto analyst, argues that Bitcoin has never experienced an early breakout following a halving event. The halving cuts miner rewards in half roughly every four years and has historically led to price increases.
Rekt Capital suggests that a premature breakout could shorten the current bull market. They believes the ongoing consolidation phase is allowing Bitcoin’s price to realign with historical halving cycles, which could lead to a longer-lasting bull run. This perspective counters fears of a bearish turn, suggesting Bitcoin establishes sustainable growth by consolidating within a specific range.
Bitcoin Post-Halving Trends Accelerate
It’s worth noting that Bitcoin’s current cycle has been significantly faster than previous post-halving periods. In March 2024, it reached new all-time highs within 260 days, a stark contrast to historical cycles. The ongoing consolidation has moderated this acceleration, extending the timeframe to roughly 170 days.
While some may view this as a negative development, it could also be interpreted as a sign of a more measured and potentially longer-lasting bull run. This perspective aligns with Rekt Capital’s view of the consolidation phase as a necessary building block for sustained growth.
However, the ongoing debate between analysts highlights the importance of considering different perspectives when analyzing market trends. While short-term volatility can be unsettling, a broader historical context can offer valuable insights for investors with a long-term outlook.
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