Bitcoin Clings to $105K, Is a Massive Breakout Just Around the Corner?

Updated 4 minutes ago by · 3 mins read

Bitcoin has rebounded above $105K following a high-profile Trump-Musk fallout, but traders are treading cautiously. 

After a weekend rebound from a brief plunge near $100,500 triggered by the public fallout between US President Donald Trump and Elon Musk, Bitcoin BTC $107 213 24h volatility: 1.6% Market cap: $2.13 T Vol. 24h: $23.25 B has stabilized around $105,500.

Yet, analysts are cautioning against prematurely celebrating this apparent recovery.

Will Bitcoin Climb Higher?

Technically, Bitcoin has broken out of its recent two-week downtrend and is now approaching the $106,600 resistance level. A daily close above this level could reinforce the bullish narrative. For now, some light rejection at this price zone appears normal, but the market’s structure remains fragile.

The Fear & Greed Index sits at 55, indicating balanced sentiment and suggesting that the market is in a holding pattern, awaiting a decisive macroeconomic or narrative catalyst.

Institutional Influx Bolsters Support

One of the significant pillars of Bitcoin’s recent resilience has been the growing adoption of corporate Bitcoin treasuries. Notably, Trump Media and Technology Group announced a $2.5 billion BTC treasury initiative, quickly followed by GameStop’s bold move to acquire 4,710 BTC.

Strategy and Metaplanet are doubling down, with the former recently announcing a $1 billion perpetual preferred stock offering, partly earmarked for additional BTC purchases.

Technical Indicators Suggest Imminent Volatility

Based on the chart below, it is clear that the on-Balance Volume (OBV) has been flattening out just below 1.84M. While this reflects a pause in aggressive buying, it also signals that selling pressure hasn’t accelerated, an encouraging sign for bulls.

BTC Daily Chart with OBV and BoP | Source: TradingView

The Balance of Power (BoP), however, remains negative (around -0.20), suggesting bears still hold some sway in the short term. Unless BoP starts to tick higher, upward moves could face headwinds.

According to analyst Crypto King, Bitcoin is undergoing a volatility squeeze just below resistance at $107,800. “Price holding higher lows, volumes drying up, and RSI cooling off… If we flip resistance this time, the next stop is $120K,” he said.

Finally, the Bitcoin price action, compressing just under resistance, hints at an imminent breakout. Given the cooling RSI and drying volume, this could well be the classic setup for a sharp move. The direction will largely depend on whether Bitcoin can clear and hold above the black resistance trendline ($106,600–$107,800).

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