Over $312 million in tokens will be unlocked this week, pressuring altcoin prices.
The Altcoin Season Index has dropped to 25, signaling weak investor appetite.
Analysts say a Bitcoin dominance drop below 58% could reignite an altcoin rally.
The crypto traders are witnessing a phase of fear as the total market capitalization dropped 3.7% to $3.59 trillion on Nov. 3. This dip comes as over $312 million in token unlocks are set to hit the market between Nov. 3 and Nov. 10, according to data from Tokenomist.
These unlocks will release new supply from dozens of altcoins, many of which are still struggling to find strong demand. Among the largest one-time unlocks, valued above $5 million, are Ethena ENA$0.3624h volatility:7.6%Market cap:$2.56 BVol. 24h:$275.05 M
, Memecoin (MEME), and Movement (MOVE).
According to Tokenomist, major one-time token unlocks (over $5 million) in the next seven days include ENA, MEME, MOVE, BB, RED, SXT, and MAVIA. Meanwhile, large linear unlocks (over $1 million per day) are expected for SOL, TRUMP, WLD, DOGE, AVAX, ASTER, TAO, IP, and ETHFI. The… pic.twitter.com/LewJSloxt8
Historically, large-scale token unlocks tend to flood the market with supply, creating downward pressure on token prices. This could be even more dangerous when investor sentiment is already fragile as the Altcoin Season index has dropped to 25, a multi-month low.
This chart shows the extreme altcoin underperformance relative to BTC. Altcoin supply in profit is at levels we've only seen during the tariff war and the 2022 bear market. If you're a passive altcoin investor, it's extremely likely you've underperformed BTC pic.twitter.com/rNehI9MoEp
Even large holders, often referred to as “whales,” have been realizing losses. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for this group remains below 1 since December 2024.
This indicates that most selling has occurred at a loss for nearly a year, an unusual stretch even for the volatile altcoin market.
Despite the current gloom, some analysts see potential for a turnaround. Market analyst Cas Abbe pointed out that Bitcoin’s dominance chart is forming a head-and-shoulders pattern. This is similar to the trajectory seen in late 2020, right before altcoins began to outperform BTC.
Bitcoin dominance head and shoulder pattern 👀
The fractal is very similar to Q4 2020, right before alts started to outperform $BTC.
The key level to look at is 58% zone, and a breakdown below it will trigger another Altcoin rally. pic.twitter.com/lc5qYNIua6
At present, Bitcoin dominance sits at 60%, up more than 2% in the past month. Abbe explained that traders should watch for a 58% dominance level, and a breakdown below that could trigger another altcoin rally.
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A crypto journalist with over 5 years of experience in the industry, Parth has worked with major media outlets in the crypto and finance world, gathering experience and expertise in the space after surviving bear and bull markets over the years. Parth is also an author of 4 self-published books.